Compendium › Band Snapper › IBM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IBM
Alpaca Tradeable

Band Snapper's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 18 trades in period

-3300.85%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,447.11
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$194.58
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:36:06

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 9.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 9.5

30-Day Momentum

3
-3.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$194.58
Current Value
$8,447.11
Period P&L
$-6,422.83
Max Drawdown
-17.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
7 / 11
Best Trade
+10.22%
Worst Trade
-25.57%
Avg Trade Return
-2.03%
Avg Hold Time
5.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$401,801.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-6,422.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$-6,422.83
Gross Return
-3300.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-3300.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $194.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $261.21 56 $14,627.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $271.93 56 $15,228.08 $15,375.07 +$600.32
(+4.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $273.75 56 $15,330.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:00am ET $288.96 56 $16,181.76 $16,226.83 +$851.76
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $261.21 56 $14,627.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $287.91 56 $16,122.96 $17,722.03 +$1,495.20
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $309.34 57 $17,632.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $285.37 57 $16,265.95 $16,355.60 $-1,366.43
(-7.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:15am ET $292.68 55 $16,097.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $217.85 55 $11,981.75 $12,239.68 $-4,115.92
(-25.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET $217.15 56 $12,160.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 10:20am ET $210.43 56 $11,784.08 $11,863.63 $-376.04
(-3.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 10:20am ET $211.01 56 $11,816.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $218.80 56 $12,252.80 $12,300.15 +$436.52
(+3.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:15am ET $292.68 55 $16,097.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $224.09 55 $12,324.95 $8,527.42 $-3,772.73
(-23.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $219.82 38 $8,353.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 11:40am ET $231.07 38 $8,780.66 $8,954.92 +$427.50
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $236.82 37 $8,762.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 2:40pm ET $235.92 37 $8,729.04 $8,921.62 $-33.30
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $236.54 37 $8,752.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $231.62 37 $8,569.94 $8,739.39 $-182.23
(-2.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $232.82 37 $8,614.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $232.79 37 $8,613.23 $8,738.43 $-0.96
(-0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $232.82 37 $8,614.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $230.68 37 $8,535.16 $8,659.40 $-79.03
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
7.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:10pm ET $238.21 36 $8,575.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $230.76 36 $8,307.36 $8,391.20 $-268.20
(-3.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:10pm ET $238.21 36 $8,575.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $234.68 36 $8,448.48 $8,264.12 $-127.08
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 2:25pm ET $234.37 35 $8,202.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $238.10 35 $8,333.67 $8,395.02 +$130.90
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $232.26 36 $8,361.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $249.58 36 $8,984.88 $9,018.36 +$623.34
(+7.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $246.20 36 $8,863.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:05am ET $230.33 36 $8,291.95 $8,447.11 $-571.25
(-6.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,447.11
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,552.89
Total Return: -15.53%
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