Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:36:02

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.7/35
Total Return
16.9/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 44.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 44.5

30-Day Momentum

3
-7.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-41 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$1,076.79
Current Value
$20,827.91
Period P&L
$1,793.40
Max Drawdown
-29.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
9 / 7
Best Trade
+9.10%
Worst Trade
-4.60%
Avg Trade Return
+0.93%
Avg Hold Time
6.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$636,361.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,793.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,793.40
Gross Return
+166.55%
Net Return (after fees)
+166.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $1,076.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:00am ET $1,102.11 16 $17,633.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET $1,158.57 16 $18,537.20 $19,289.96 +$903.44
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:00am ET $1,102.11 16 $17,633.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1,202.36 16 $19,237.76 $20,893.96 +$1,604.00
(+9.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $1,231.01 16 $19,696.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $1,174.39 16 $18,790.24 $19,988.04 $-905.92
(-4.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $1,152.25 17 $19,588.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $1,174.54 17 $19,967.10 $20,366.89 +$378.85
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $1,148.86 17 $19,530.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $1,194.41 17 $20,304.94 $21,141.20 +$774.32
(+4.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $1,231.01 16 $19,696.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $1,180.99 16 $18,895.92 $20,340.96 $-800.24
(-4.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $1,145.00 17 $19,465.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $1,177.99 17 $20,025.83 $20,901.79 +$560.83
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET $1,162.92 17 $19,769.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 2:30pm ET $1,221.20 17 $20,760.40 $21,892.63 +$990.84
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 3:05pm ET $1,217.55 17 $20,698.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $1,177.98 17 $20,025.66 $21,219.94 $-672.69
(-3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,212.41 17 $20,610.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:45am ET $1,283.53 17 $21,820.01 $22,428.98 +$1,209.04
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:55am ET $1,266.00 17 $21,522.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:55am ET $1,253.18 17 $21,303.98 $22,210.96 $-218.02
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:55am ET $1,202.00 18 $21,635.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:55am ET $1,151.23 18 $20,722.23 $21,297.23 $-913.73
(-4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:55am ET $1,202.00 18 $21,635.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $1,154.23 18 $20,776.23 $20,437.50 $-859.73
(-4.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
8.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,142.84 17 $19,428.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,121.14 17 $19,059.38 $20,068.60 $-368.90
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $1,124.86 17 $19,122.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:25pm ET $1,137.80 17 $19,342.60 $20,288.50 +$219.90
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $1,134.87 17 $19,292.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $1,166.60 17 $19,832.20 $20,827.91 +$539.41
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,827.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,827.91
Total Return: +108.28%
Back to Band Snapper