Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:14:52

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

50
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.5/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
5.6/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 50.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 50.1

30-Day Momentum

2
-4.6%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-48 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$163.54
Current Value
$19,546.29
Period P&L
$-4,595.96
Max Drawdown
-18.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.41

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
6 / 9
Best Trade
+4.60%
Worst Trade
-8.12%
Avg Trade Return
-1.30%
Avg Hold Time
7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$631,577.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,595.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,595.96
Gross Return
-2810.28%
Net Return (after fees)
-2810.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $163.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $223.70 107 $23,935.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $215.79 107 $23,089.53 $23,210.27 $-846.37
(-3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $223.70 107 $23,935.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $216.85 107 $23,202.95 $22,477.32 $-732.95
(-3.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:40am ET $220.34 102 $22,474.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $222.04 102 $22,647.57 $22,650.72 +$173.40
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:15pm ET $227.34 99 $22,506.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $208.88 99 $20,679.12 $20,823.18 $-1,827.54
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:05am ET $214.07 97 $20,764.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $218.09 97 $21,154.25 $21,212.64 +$389.45
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:40am ET $220.34 102 $22,474.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $206.50 102 $21,063.00 $19,801.47 $-1,411.17
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET $208.97 94 $19,643.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 10:10am ET $218.58 94 $20,546.52 $20,704.81 +$903.34
(+4.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:40am ET $217.55 95 $20,667.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:40am ET $213.94 95 $20,324.54 $20,362.10 $-342.71
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $217.68 93 $20,244.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $219.44 93 $20,407.92 $20,525.32 +$163.22
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $215.64 95 $20,485.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $215.20 95 $20,444.00 $20,483.52 $-41.80
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $215.64 95 $20,485.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $216.27 95 $20,545.65 $20,543.37 +$59.85
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $214.76 95 $20,401.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 1:35pm ET $212.38 95 $20,176.57 $20,318.22 $-225.15
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $216.30 93 $20,115.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $217.96 93 $20,269.82 $20,472.13 +$153.91
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $215.73 94 $20,278.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:55pm ET $207.24 94 $19,480.56 $19,674.07 $-798.06
(-3.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:50pm ET $206.63 95 $19,629.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:50pm ET $205.28 95 $19,501.60 $19,546.29 $-127.78
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,546.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,546.29
Total Return: +95.46%
Back to Band Snapper