Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:05:35

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.5/35
Total Return
19.3/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 47.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 47.2

30-Day Momentum

11
-3.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$47,905.85
Current Value
$30,789.43
Period P&L
$-17,116.46
Max Drawdown
-54.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
12 / 13
Best Trade
+18.78%
Worst Trade
-10.29%
Avg Trade Return
-0.77%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,691,409.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-17,116.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$-17,116.46
Gross Return
-35.73%
Net Return (after fees)
-35.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $47,905.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET $1,034.00 38 $39,292.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $1,228.15 38 $46,669.51 $47,058.68 +$7,377.52
(+18.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,136.76 41 $46,607.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:55am ET $1,061.77 41 $43,532.57 $43,984.10 $-3,074.58
(-6.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,146.35 38 $43,561.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,068.12 38 $40,588.56 $41,011.35 $-2,972.74
(-6.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:15am ET $1,035.56 39 $40,386.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $970.71 39 $37,857.69 $38,482.20 $-2,529.15
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $996.52 38 $37,867.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $917.57 38 $34,867.66 $35,482.10 $-3,000.10
(-7.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $905.47 39 $35,313.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:00am ET $957.00 39 $37,323.00 $37,491.77 +$2,009.67
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $1,012.80 37 $37,473.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $916.62 37 $33,914.98 $33,932.96 $-3,558.81
(-9.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 2:30pm ET $982.00 34 $33,388.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET $921.45 34 $31,329.13 $31,874.09 $-2,058.87
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $852.41 37 $31,538.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $896.01 37 $33,152.37 $33,487.48 +$1,613.38
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:15pm ET $881.22 38 $33,486.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $931.08 38 $35,380.85 $35,381.97 +$1,894.49
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $951.42 37 $35,202.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:25am ET $999.00 37 $36,963.00 $37,142.43 +$1,760.46
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:30am ET $923.69 40 $36,947.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET $867.71 40 $34,708.21 $34,903.04 $-2,239.39
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 1:40pm ET $812.41 42 $34,121.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $761.09 42 $31,965.71 $32,747.53 $-2,155.51
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET $846.34 38 $32,160.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $782.70 38 $29,742.41 $30,329.02 $-2,418.51
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $891.82 34 $30,321.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $859.09 34 $29,209.06 $29,216.20 $-1,112.82
(-3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $870.84 33 $28,737.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $916.79 33 $30,254.07 $30,732.55 +$1,516.35
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $912.20 33 $30,102.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:55am ET $959.85 33 $31,675.05 $32,305.00 +$1,572.45
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $961.15 33 $31,717.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET $1,010.48 33 $33,345.84 $33,932.89 +$1,627.89
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:35am ET $974.00 34 $33,116.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $912.27 34 $31,017.01 $31,833.87 $-2,099.02
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:35am ET $974.00 34 $33,116.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $925.43 34 $31,464.62 $30,182.46 $-1,651.41
(-5.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:55am ET $933.44 32 $29,870.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:55am ET $939.05 32 $30,049.60 $30,361.98 +$179.52
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:55am ET $933.44 32 $29,870.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $947.74 32 $30,327.84 $30,819.74 +$457.76
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $1,014.00 30 $30,420.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $909.68 30 $27,290.40 $27,690.08 $-3,129.66
(-10.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:55am ET $926.03 29 $26,854.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $976.96 29 $28,331.84 $29,167.17 +$1,477.09
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 11:55am ET $988.81 29 $28,675.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $1,044.75 29 $30,297.75 $30,789.43 +$1,622.26
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $30,789.43
Net Profit/Loss: +$20,789.43
Total Return: +207.89%
Back to Band Snapper