Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:36:09

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

78
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
24.2/25
Win Rate
8.8/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 78.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 78.0

30-Day Momentum

7
-3.2%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.4 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-71 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$69,897.78
Current Value
$90,753.67
Period P&L
$20,855.85
Max Drawdown
-18.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
11 / 8
Best Trade
+18.87%
Worst Trade
-6.50%
Avg Trade Return
+1.27%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$3,109,226.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$20,855.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$20,855.85
Gross Return
+29.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+29.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $69,897.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:40am ET $115.78 638 $73,867.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET $108.25 638 $69,066.69 $69,164.12 $-4,800.95
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 2:45pm ET $112.51 614 $69,081.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:50am ET $118.33 614 $72,654.62 $72,737.60 +$3,573.48
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:50am ET $115.07 632 $72,724.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $122.07 632 $77,149.25 $77,162.61 +$4,425.01
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $127.07 607 $77,131.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 11:55am ET $133.63 607 $81,113.41 $81,144.53 +$3,981.92
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $136.40 594 $81,018.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:40am ET $127.95 594 $76,002.30 $76,128.20 $-5,016.33
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:40am ET $126.93 599 $76,031.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:40am ET $126.85 599 $75,983.15 $76,080.28 $-47.92
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:45am ET $133.29 570 $75,975.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:45am ET $133.51 570 $76,103.55 $76,208.53 +$128.25
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:45am ET $134.22 567 $76,102.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 11:30am ET $126.15 567 $71,527.05 $71,632.84 $-4,575.69
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $122.93 582 $71,545.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 11:20am ET $129.38 582 $75,299.22 $75,386.80 +$3,753.96
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:40am ET $126.93 599 $76,031.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $121.83 599 $72,979.16 $72,334.89 $-3,051.91
(-4.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET $121.53 595 $72,307.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $144.46 595 $85,953.70 $85,981.22 +$13,646.33
(+18.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $160.97 534 $85,957.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:20am ET $169.21 534 $90,359.90 $90,383.14 +$4,401.92
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $177.18 510 $90,364.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $174.50 510 $88,995.00 $89,013.79 $-1,369.35
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $172.22 516 $88,863.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 11:55am ET $181.44 516 $93,623.04 $93,772.86 +$4,759.07
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:55pm ET $176.74 530 $93,669.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:50am ET $185.71 530 $98,428.95 $98,532.26 +$4,759.40
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:50am ET $185.46 531 $98,481.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:05am ET $173.97 531 $92,378.07 $92,428.42 $-6,103.84
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $182.31 506 $92,248.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 11:55am ET $171.19 506 $86,622.14 $86,801.70 $-5,626.72
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $170.45 509 $86,758.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:15pm ET $173.01 509 $88,063.46 $88,107.13 +$1,305.43
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:15pm ET $173.68 507 $88,058.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $178.90 507 $90,704.83 $90,753.67 +$2,646.54
(+3.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $90,753.67
Net Profit/Loss: +$80,753.67
Total Return: +807.54%
Back to Band Snapper