Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:36:05

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.7/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 35.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 34.8

30-Day Momentum

2
-11.1%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,066.13
Current Value
$14,169.29
Period P&L
$103.14
Max Drawdown
-21.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
8 / 8
Best Trade
+8.30%
Worst Trade
-6.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
5.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$465,070.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$103.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$103.14
Gross Return
+0.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $14,066.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:45pm ET $52.58 267 $14,037.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 1:45pm ET $53.82 267 $14,369.94 $14,398.56 +$332.41
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 1:50pm ET $54.15 265 $14,349.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:50pm ET $56.03 265 $14,849.27 $14,898.08 +$499.52
(+3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $54.88 271 $14,873.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $52.80 271 $14,308.80 $14,333.05 $-565.03
(-3.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:55am ET $53.14 269 $14,294.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $49.61 269 $13,345.09 $13,383.48 $-949.57
(-6.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $51.33 260 $13,345.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $54.04 260 $14,051.70 $14,089.64 +$706.16
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $52.31 269 $14,071.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $51.58 269 $13,873.68 $13,891.92 $-197.72
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $54.88 271 $14,873.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $52.24 271 $14,157.04 $13,175.13 $-716.79
(-4.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $51.82 254 $13,162.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $56.12 254 $14,255.32 $14,268.17 +$1,093.04
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $55.49 257 $14,260.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:30am ET $58.31 257 $14,986.95 $14,994.71 +$726.54
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 2:00pm ET $58.30 257 $14,983.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $59.01 257 $15,164.29 $15,175.92 +$181.21
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $58.45 259 $15,138.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 10:50am ET $61.39 259 $15,900.01 $15,937.38 +$761.46
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $62.72 254 $15,932.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 3:25pm ET $61.63 254 $15,654.05 $15,659.28 $-278.10
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:00pm ET $61.51 254 $15,622.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $58.83 254 $14,941.55 $14,978.56 $-680.72
(-4.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:10pm ET $60.49 247 $14,939.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $59.90 247 $14,796.53 $14,835.30 $-143.26
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:50pm ET $60.98 243 $14,818.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $56.83 243 $13,808.48 $13,825.64 $-1,009.66
(-6.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $58.15 237 $13,780.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $59.60 237 $14,124.02 $14,169.29 +$343.65
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,169.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,169.29
Total Return: +41.69%
Back to Band Snapper