Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:44:31

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 31.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 31.4

30-Day Momentum

2
-3.6%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,776.75
Current Value
$15,170.69
Period P&L
$-4,606.05
Max Drawdown
-42.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
8 / 10
Best Trade
+8.08%
Worst Trade
-8.87%
Avg Trade Return
-1.32%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$637,792.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,606.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,606.05
Gross Return
-23.29%
Net Return (after fees)
-23.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $19,776.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET $73.50 269 $19,771.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $78.02 269 $20,987.38 $20,992.57 +$1,215.85
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $71.07 295 $20,965.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $75.00 295 $22,125.00 $22,151.92 +$1,159.35
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $77.78 284 $22,089.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $73.01 284 $20,733.93 $20,796.39 $-1,355.53
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $76.67 271 $20,776.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET $71.54 271 $19,387.34 $19,407.52 $-1,388.88
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:15am ET $71.13 272 $19,347.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $74.74 272 $20,329.28 $20,389.44 +$981.92
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $75.56 269 $20,325.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $76.30 269 $20,524.83 $20,588.63 +$199.19
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $72.39 284 $20,558.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $65.97 284 $18,735.48 $18,765.36 $-1,823.28
(-8.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $68.54 273 $18,710.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET $64.40 273 $17,582.56 $17,637.86 $-1,127.49
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET $62.63 281 $17,599.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 11:50am ET $58.74 281 $16,504.54 $16,543.37 $-1,094.50
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET $74.62 221 $16,491.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:40am ET $74.75 221 $16,518.65 $16,570.97 +$27.60
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:40am ET $73.27 226 $16,558.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:00am ET $77.04 226 $17,411.04 $17,423.83 +$852.86
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:20am ET $77.08 226 $17,420.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 10:55am ET $72.39 226 $16,360.12 $16,363.87 $-1,059.96
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 1:15pm ET $72.26 226 $16,331.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 1:15pm ET $69.50 226 $15,705.87 $15,737.85 $-626.02
(-3.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 1:15pm ET $72.26 226 $16,331.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $69.66 226 $15,742.66 $15,148.62 $-589.23
(-3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:25pm ET $72.39 209 $15,128.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $68.92 209 $14,403.24 $14,423.39 $-725.23
(-4.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $71.93 200 $14,387.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $71.99 200 $14,397.00 $14,433.39 +$10.00
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $71.34 202 $14,410.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $69.39 202 $14,016.78 $14,039.49 $-393.90
(-2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $69.29 202 $13,996.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $74.89 202 $15,127.78 $15,170.69 +$1,131.20
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,170.69
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,170.69
Total Return: +51.71%
Back to Band Snapper