Compendium › Band Snapper › XLK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLK
Alpaca Tradeable

Band Snapper's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 16 trades in period

-2413.17%
Last 3 Months Return
$19,677.71
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$60.46
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:54:45

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

58
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.0/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 58.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 57.9

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-55 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$60.46
Current Value
$19,677.71
Period P&L
$-1,459.02
Max Drawdown
-14.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
7 / 9
Best Trade
+5.42%
Worst Trade
-6.39%
Avg Trade Return
-0.35%
Avg Hold Time
7.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$634,181.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,459.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,459.02
Gross Return
-2413.17%
Net Return (after fees)
-2413.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $60.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $184.39 114 $21,020.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $183.42 114 $20,909.88 $20,914.44 $-110.58
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $184.39 114 $21,020.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $182.30 114 $20,782.20 $20,676.18 $-238.26
(-1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $180.13 114 $20,534.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $182.98 114 $20,859.15 $21,001.08 +$324.90
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 3:00pm ET $183.64 114 $20,934.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $171.91 114 $19,597.74 $19,663.99 $-1,337.09
(-6.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $176.53 111 $19,594.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $177.32 111 $19,681.97 $19,751.12 +$87.14
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $180.13 114 $20,534.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $172.59 114 $19,675.03 $18,891.90 $-859.22
(-4.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET $174.05 108 $18,797.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET $183.48 108 $19,815.84 $19,910.34 +$1,018.44
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:30am ET $186.66 106 $19,785.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:30am ET $188.00 106 $19,928.00 $20,052.38 +$142.04
(+0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $185.91 107 $19,892.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $190.98 107 $20,434.86 $20,594.87 +$542.49
(+2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $186.53 110 $20,518.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $180.45 110 $19,849.50 $19,926.07 $-668.80
(-3.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $186.53 110 $20,518.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $181.21 110 $19,933.10 $19,340.87 $-585.20
(-2.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $187.25 103 $19,286.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:30pm ET $183.15 103 $18,864.45 $18,918.57 $-422.30
(-2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $187.25 103 $19,286.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $185.49 103 $19,105.47 $18,737.29 $-181.28
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 2:05pm ET $186.66 100 $18,666.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $188.06 100 $18,806.00 $18,877.29 +$140.00
(+0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $185.36 101 $18,721.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $183.90 101 $18,573.90 $18,729.83 $-147.46
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $184.68 101 $18,652.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:35pm ET $194.06 101 $19,600.06 $19,677.71 +$947.88
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,677.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,677.71
Total Return: +96.78%
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