Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:14:19

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.8/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 33.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 32.7

30-Day Momentum

6
-6.3%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,651.94
Current Value
$15,902.83
Period P&L
$-1,749.05
Max Drawdown
-30.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
19 / 17
Best Trade
+6.94%
Worst Trade
-15.07%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,381,274.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,749.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,749.05
Gross Return
-9.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 36 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $17,651.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:10pm ET $318.57 55 $17,521.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $299.40 55 $16,467.27 $16,597.81 $-1,054.08
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $291.88 56 $16,345.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $307.25 56 $17,206.00 $17,458.53 +$860.72
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $312.77 55 $17,202.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $311.78 55 $17,147.90 $17,404.08 $-54.45
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $328.82 52 $17,098.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $351.63 52 $18,284.76 $18,590.20 +$1,186.12
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $356.45 52 $18,535.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:00am ET $375.63 52 $19,532.50 $19,587.56 +$997.36
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:45pm ET $378.45 51 $19,300.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET $398.53 51 $20,325.03 $20,611.64 +$1,024.08
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $401.99 51 $20,501.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:00pm ET $416.34 51 $21,233.34 $21,343.36 +$731.72
(+3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $424.93 50 $21,246.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET $398.79 50 $19,939.25 $20,035.86 $-1,307.50
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET $399.10 50 $19,955.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $421.58 50 $21,079.00 $21,159.86 +$1,124.00
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
10 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:55am ET $419.62 50 $20,981.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $427.61 50 $21,380.75 $21,559.61 +$399.75
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
11 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $422.84 50 $21,142.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $421.44 50 $21,072.00 $21,489.61 $-70.00
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
12 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $409.71 52 $21,305.18 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $418.94 52 $21,784.88 $21,969.31 +$479.70
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
13 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:30am ET $417.02 52 $21,684.78 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $441.23 52 $22,943.96 $23,228.49 +$1,259.18
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:30pm ET $459.08 50 $22,954.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $488.34 50 $24,417.00 $24,691.24 +$1,462.75
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:40pm ET $483.19 51 $24,642.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $410.39 51 $20,929.64 $20,978.19 $-3,713.05
(-15.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $404.00 51 $20,603.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $378.17 51 $19,286.67 $19,660.94 $-1,317.25
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $372.00 52 $19,344.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $395.25 52 $20,553.00 $20,869.94 +$1,209.00
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $389.88 53 $20,663.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $409.76 53 $21,717.49 $21,923.79 +$1,053.85
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $404.04 54 $21,817.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $378.00 54 $20,412.00 $20,517.90 $-1,405.89
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:10pm ET $383.50 53 $20,325.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $374.10 53 $19,827.30 $20,019.70 $-498.20
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:10pm ET $383.50 53 $20,325.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $374.00 53 $19,822.00 $19,516.20 $-503.50
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $366.46 53 $19,422.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:00am ET $385.14 53 $20,412.42 $20,506.24 +$990.04
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $402.80 50 $20,140.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $390.85 50 $19,542.50 $19,908.49 $-597.75
(-3.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $381.70 52 $19,848.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET $358.47 52 $18,640.44 $18,700.53 $-1,207.96
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $380.83 49 $18,660.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $386.45 49 $18,936.05 $18,975.91 +$275.38
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
26 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $402.80 50 $20,140.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $381.86 50 $19,092.75 $17,928.41 $-1,047.50
(-5.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET $382.05 46 $17,574.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $402.92 46 $18,534.09 $18,888.20 +$959.79
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $418.80 45 $18,846.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $427.35 45 $19,230.75 $19,272.73 +$384.53
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 12:45pm ET $418.46 46 $19,249.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 11:25am ET $393.35 46 $18,093.87 $18,117.44 $-1,155.29
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $395.20 45 $17,784.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $369.81 45 $16,641.45 $16,974.78 $-1,142.66
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $362.84 46 $16,690.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $356.69 46 $16,407.74 $16,691.88 $-282.90
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
32 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $367.32 45 $16,529.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $369.15 45 $16,611.75 $16,774.23 +$82.35
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $367.26 45 $16,526.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:50am ET $344.39 45 $15,497.55 $15,745.30 $-1,028.92
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:20am ET $354.74 44 $15,608.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:20am ET $362.04 44 $15,929.76 $16,066.50 +$321.20
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $362.92 44 $15,968.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:55am ET $341.05 44 $15,006.20 $15,104.01 $-962.49
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:10pm ET $341.47 44 $15,024.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $359.63 44 $15,823.50 $15,902.83 +$798.82
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,902.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,902.83
Total Return: +59.03%
Back to Band Snapper