MS Band Snapper's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 30 trades in period
-1.32%
Last 6 Months Return
$19,546.29
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$19,808.72
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
50
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
18.5/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
5.6/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
50.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 50.1
30-Day Momentum
2
-4.6%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-48 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$19,808.72
Current Value
$19,546.29
Period P&L
$-262.44
Max Drawdown
-18.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
16 /
14
Best Trade
+5.58%
Worst Trade
-8.12%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
5.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,264,724.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-262.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-262.44
Gross Return
-1.32%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.32%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $19,808.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.63 | 117 | $19,027.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.76 | 117 | $18,691.92 | $18,852.83 |
$-335.79 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $166.74 | 113 | $18,841.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:00pm ET | $166.27 | 113 | $18,788.51 | $18,799.72 |
$-53.11 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET | $167.61 | 112 | $18,772.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.96 | 112 | $19,819.52 | $19,846.92 |
+$1,047.20 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.31 | 113 | $19,810.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.41 | 113 | $20,612.89 | $20,649.78 |
+$802.86 (+4.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:45pm ET | $191.16 | 108 | $20,645.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:45pm ET | $190.74 | 108 | $20,599.92 | $20,603.88 |
$-45.90 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:55pm ET | $191.13 | 107 | $20,451.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 1:55pm ET | $189.28 | 107 | $20,252.96 | $20,405.40 |
$-198.48 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $188.50 | 108 | $20,358.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $190.05 | 108 | $20,525.94 | $20,573.34 |
+$167.94 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $189.41 | 108 | $20,456.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $192.53 | 108 | $20,793.24 | $20,909.76 |
+$336.42 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.83 | 111 | $20,849.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $192.95 | 111 | $21,416.90 | $21,477.53 |
+$567.77 (+2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.99 | 113 | $21,469.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $200.04 | 113 | $22,604.52 | $22,612.61 |
+$1,135.08 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $201.94 | 111 | $22,415.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $201.98 | 111 | $22,419.78 | $22,617.05 |
+$4.44 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 1:25pm ET | $207.09 | 109 | $22,572.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 1:25pm ET | $210.60 | 109 | $22,955.40 | $22,999.64 |
+$382.59 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $215.72 | 106 | $22,866.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $208.75 | 106 | $22,127.50 | $22,260.82 |
$-738.82 (-3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:00pm ET | $207.92 | 107 | $22,247.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $219.23 | 107 | $23,457.08 | $23,470.46 |
+$1,209.64 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 2:40pm ET | $220.33 | 106 | $23,354.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $225.86 | 106 | $23,941.16 | $24,056.64 |
+$586.18 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $223.70 | 107 | $23,935.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $215.79 | 107 | $23,089.53 | $23,210.27 |
$-846.37 (-3.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $223.70 | 107 | $23,935.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $216.85 | 107 | $23,202.95 | $22,477.32 |
$-732.95 (-3.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:40am ET | $220.34 | 102 | $22,474.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $222.04 | 102 | $22,647.57 | $22,650.72 |
+$173.40 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 12:15pm ET | $227.34 | 99 | $22,506.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $208.88 | 99 | $20,679.12 | $20,823.18 |
$-1,827.54 (-8.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $214.07 | 97 | $20,764.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $218.09 | 97 | $21,154.25 | $21,212.64 |
+$389.45 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:40am ET | $220.34 | 102 | $22,474.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.50 | 102 | $21,063.00 | $19,801.47 |
$-1,411.17 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET | $208.97 | 94 | $19,643.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $218.58 | 94 | $20,546.52 | $20,704.81 |
+$903.34 (+4.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $217.55 | 95 | $20,667.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 10:40am ET | $213.94 | 95 | $20,324.54 | $20,362.10 |
$-342.71 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 12:10pm ET | $217.68 | 93 | $20,244.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $219.44 | 93 | $20,407.92 | $20,525.32 |
+$163.22 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $215.64 | 95 | $20,485.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $215.20 | 95 | $20,444.00 | $20,483.52 |
$-41.80 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $215.64 | 95 | $20,485.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $216.27 | 95 | $20,545.65 | $20,543.37 |
+$59.85 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 1:35pm ET | $214.76 | 95 | $20,401.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 1:35pm ET | $212.38 | 95 | $20,176.57 | $20,318.22 |
$-225.15 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 1:10pm ET | $216.30 | 93 | $20,115.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $217.96 | 93 | $20,269.82 | $20,472.13 |
+$153.91 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $215.73 | 94 | $20,278.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 2:55pm ET | $207.24 | 94 | $19,480.56 | $19,674.07 |
$-798.06 (-3.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 12:50pm ET | $206.63 | 95 | $19,629.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 12:50pm ET | $205.28 | 95 | $19,501.60 | $19,546.29 |
$-127.78 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$19,546.29
Net Profit/Loss:
+$9,546.29
Total Return:
+95.46%