TQQQ Band Snapper's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 41 trades in period
-1.25%
Last 6 Months Return
$15,170.69
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$15,362.44
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
31
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
31.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 31.4
30-Day Momentum
2
-3.6%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$15,362.44
Current Value
$15,170.69
Period P&L
$-191.74
Max Drawdown
-42.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
22 /
19
Best Trade
+12.45%
Worst Trade
-9.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,535,816.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-191.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$-191.74
Gross Return
-1.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.25%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $15,362.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $44.60 | 348 | $15,520.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $44.54 | 348 | $15,499.95 | $15,515.60 |
$-20.84 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $43.33 | 358 | $15,510.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.44 | 358 | $14,477.52 | $14,482.77 |
$-1,032.83 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $38.60 | 375 | $14,474.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $40.85 | 375 | $15,318.75 | $15,326.56 |
+$843.79 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $43.54 | 351 | $15,284.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $40.88 | 351 | $14,350.63 | $14,392.90 |
$-933.66 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $43.35 | 332 | $14,392.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.75 | 332 | $16,185.00 | $16,185.00 |
+$1,792.10 (+12.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:25pm ET | $48.46 | 334 | $16,183.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.65 | 334 | $17,249.43 | $17,250.46 |
+$1,065.46 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $54.13 | 318 | $17,214.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:15pm ET | $56.86 | 318 | $18,081.48 | $18,117.01 |
+$866.55 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $58.50 | 309 | $18,076.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 1:20pm ET | $59.81 | 309 | $18,479.75 | $18,519.95 |
+$402.94 (+2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $58.93 | 314 | $18,504.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $62.31 | 314 | $19,565.31 | $19,581.24 |
+$1,061.29 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.58 | 323 | $19,567.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:15pm ET | $63.63 | 323 | $20,552.49 | $20,566.39 |
+$985.15 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $65.18 | 315 | $20,532.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.05 | 315 | $21,750.75 | $21,784.81 |
+$1,218.42 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:00pm ET | $71.93 | 302 | $21,722.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 1:00pm ET | $75.54 | 302 | $22,811.57 | $22,873.49 |
+$1,088.68 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 3:00pm ET | $76.67 | 298 | $22,847.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 12:45pm ET | $71.86 | 298 | $21,412.79 | $21,438.62 |
$-1,434.87 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:10pm ET | $78.89 | 271 | $21,380.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $73.68 | 271 | $19,967.28 | $20,025.36 |
$-1,413.26 (-6.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:35am ET | $71.35 | 280 | $19,978.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $75.00 | 280 | $21,000.31 | $21,047.67 |
+$1,022.31 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $74.83 | 281 | $21,027.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $79.01 | 281 | $22,203.21 | $22,223.65 |
+$1,175.98 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $80.61 | 275 | $22,167.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $84.94 | 275 | $23,358.28 | $23,414.18 |
+$1,190.53 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 3:50pm ET | $85.98 | 272 | $23,386.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $80.67 | 272 | $21,940.88 | $21,968.23 |
$-1,445.95 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET | $76.84 | 285 | $21,899.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $71.82 | 285 | $20,468.70 | $20,537.53 |
$-1,430.70 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:50am ET | $70.65 | 290 | $20,488.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET | $74.66 | 290 | $21,651.40 | $21,700.43 |
+$1,162.90 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET | $77.03 | 281 | $21,645.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.88 | 281 | $23,289.28 | $23,344.28 |
+$1,643.85 (+7.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $84.24 | 277 | $23,334.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $78.71 | 277 | $21,802.67 | $21,812.47 |
$-1,531.81 (-6.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:05pm ET | $82.70 | 263 | $21,750.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.96 | 263 | $19,714.48 | $19,776.72 |
$-2,035.75 (-9.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $73.50 | 269 | $19,771.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.02 | 269 | $20,987.38 | $20,992.57 |
+$1,215.85 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.07 | 295 | $20,965.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.00 | 295 | $22,125.00 | $22,151.92 |
+$1,159.35 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.78 | 284 | $22,089.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 12:30pm ET | $73.01 | 284 | $20,733.93 | $20,796.39 |
$-1,355.53 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $76.67 | 271 | $20,776.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET | $71.54 | 271 | $19,387.34 | $19,407.52 |
$-1,388.88 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 10:15am ET | $71.13 | 272 | $19,347.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.74 | 272 | $20,329.28 | $20,389.44 |
+$981.92 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.56 | 269 | $20,325.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.30 | 269 | $20,524.83 | $20,588.63 |
+$199.19 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.39 | 284 | $20,558.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.97 | 284 | $18,735.48 | $18,765.36 |
$-1,823.28 (-8.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 1:40pm ET | $68.54 | 273 | $18,710.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $64.40 | 273 | $17,582.56 | $17,637.86 |
$-1,127.49 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $62.63 | 281 | $17,599.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:50am ET | $58.74 | 281 | $16,504.54 | $16,543.37 |
$-1,094.50 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $74.62 | 221 | $16,491.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 10:40am ET | $74.75 | 221 | $16,518.65 | $16,570.97 |
+$27.60 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:40am ET | $73.27 | 226 | $16,558.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $77.04 | 226 | $17,411.04 | $17,423.83 |
+$852.86 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:20am ET | $77.08 | 226 | $17,420.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 10:55am ET | $72.39 | 226 | $16,360.12 | $16,363.87 |
$-1,059.96 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 1:15pm ET | $72.26 | 226 | $16,331.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $69.50 | 226 | $15,705.87 | $15,737.85 |
$-626.02 (-3.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 1:15pm ET | $72.26 | 226 | $16,331.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.66 | 226 | $15,742.66 | $15,148.62 |
$-589.23 (-3.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 2:25pm ET | $72.39 | 209 | $15,128.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 2:25pm ET | $68.92 | 209 | $14,403.24 | $14,423.39 |
$-725.23 (-4.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $71.93 | 200 | $14,387.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $71.99 | 200 | $14,397.00 | $14,433.39 |
+$10.00 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $71.34 | 202 | $14,410.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $69.39 | 202 | $14,016.78 | $14,039.49 |
$-393.90 (-2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $69.29 | 202 | $13,996.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.89 | 202 | $15,127.78 | $15,170.69 |
+$1,131.20 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,170.69
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,170.69
Total Return:
+51.71%