IBM Band Snapper's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 47 trades in period
-52.97%
Year to Date Return
$8,447.11
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$17,962.04
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
9.7/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 9.5
30-Day Momentum
3
-3.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3
Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,449
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$17,962.04
Current Value
$8,447.11
Period P&L
$-9,514.93
Max Drawdown
-17.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
47
Winners / Losers
20 /
27
Best Trade
+10.22%
Worst Trade
-25.57%
Avg Trade Return
-1.18%
Avg Hold Time
5.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,378,708.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-9,514.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-9,514.93
Gross Return
-52.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-52.97%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 47 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $17,962.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 12:35pm ET | $303.88 | 60 | $18,232.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $295.07 | 60 | $17,704.20 | $17,911.05 |
$-528.60 (-2.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:15am ET | $300.49 | 59 | $17,729.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $309.14 | 59 | $18,239.26 | $18,421.17 |
+$510.13 (+2.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $297.97 | 61 | $18,176.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $292.41 | 61 | $17,837.01 | $18,082.01 |
$-339.16 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $295.54 | 61 | $18,027.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $317.36 | 61 | $19,358.96 | $19,413.03 |
+$1,331.02 (+7.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.27 | 64 | $19,345.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $283.43 | 64 | $18,139.52 | $18,207.27 |
$-1,205.76 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $287.01 | 63 | $18,081.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $269.74 | 63 | $16,993.62 | $17,119.26 |
$-1,088.01 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $258.21 | 66 | $17,041.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 1:50pm ET | $242.64 | 66 | $16,014.24 | $16,091.64 |
$-1,027.62 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:25pm ET | $228.87 | 70 | $16,020.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.85 | 70 | $16,929.50 | $17,000.24 |
+$908.60 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $236.45 | 71 | $16,787.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $248.63 | 71 | $17,652.73 | $17,865.38 |
+$865.13 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $255.84 | 69 | $17,652.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $247.69 | 69 | $17,090.61 | $17,303.03 |
$-562.35 (-3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 11:15am ET | $247.45 | 69 | $17,074.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $253.29 | 69 | $17,477.35 | $17,706.34 |
+$403.31 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 12:30pm ET | $253.05 | 69 | $17,460.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $246.49 | 69 | $17,007.81 | $17,253.36 |
$-452.98 (-2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $239.78 | 71 | $17,024.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $237.54 | 71 | $16,865.69 | $17,094.85 |
$-158.51 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $244.47 | 69 | $16,868.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:00pm ET | $246.45 | 69 | $17,004.71 | $17,231.13 |
+$136.28 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $243.57 | 70 | $17,049.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.43 | 70 | $16,339.75 | $16,520.98 |
$-710.15 (-4.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:05pm ET | $239.31 | 69 | $16,512.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $255.46 | 69 | $17,626.74 | $17,635.33 |
+$1,114.35 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $252.80 | 69 | $17,443.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.82 | 69 | $15,926.58 | $16,118.81 |
$-1,516.52 (-8.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $227.53 | 70 | $15,927.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $229.28 | 70 | $16,049.60 | $16,241.31 |
+$122.50 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $226.42 | 71 | $16,076.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $228.34 | 71 | $16,212.14 | $16,377.38 |
+$136.07 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $226.08 | 72 | $16,277.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $227.85 | 72 | $16,404.84 | $16,504.35 |
+$126.97 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $221.96 | 74 | $16,424.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $218.41 | 74 | $16,162.34 | $16,242.02 |
$-262.33 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 12:00pm ET | $222.72 | 72 | $16,035.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $234.90 | 72 | $16,912.44 | $17,118.62 |
+$876.60 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 11:55am ET | $255.81 | 66 | $16,883.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 11:55am ET | $254.64 | 66 | $16,806.24 | $17,041.40 |
$-77.22 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 12:15pm ET | $263.71 | 64 | $16,877.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $277.26 | 64 | $17,744.64 | $17,908.60 |
+$867.20 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 1:55pm ET | $323.32 | 55 | $17,782.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 11:45am ET | $302.71 | 55 | $16,649.05 | $16,775.32 |
$-1,133.28 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $303.21 | 55 | $16,676.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $284.98 | 55 | $15,673.90 | $15,772.67 |
$-1,002.65 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 12:00pm ET | $281.65 | 56 | $15,772.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $270.14 | 56 | $15,127.84 | $15,128.11 |
$-644.56 (-4.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $270.03 | 56 | $15,121.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.46 | 56 | $14,025.76 | $14,032.19 |
$-1,095.92 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $248.24 | 56 | $13,901.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.50 | 56 | $14,644.00 | $14,774.75 |
+$742.56 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.21 | 56 | $14,627.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $271.93 | 56 | $15,228.08 | $15,375.07 |
+$600.32 (+4.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $273.75 | 56 | $15,330.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $288.96 | 56 | $16,181.76 | $16,226.83 |
+$851.76 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.21 | 56 | $14,627.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $287.91 | 56 | $16,122.96 | $17,722.03 |
+$1,495.20 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 3:10pm ET | $309.34 | 57 | $17,632.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $285.37 | 57 | $16,265.95 | $16,355.60 |
$-1,366.43 (-7.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:15am ET | $292.68 | 55 | $16,097.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $217.85 | 55 | $11,981.75 | $12,239.68 |
$-4,115.92 (-25.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET | $217.15 | 56 | $12,160.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $210.43 | 56 | $11,784.08 | $11,863.63 |
$-376.04 (-3.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $211.01 | 56 | $11,816.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $218.80 | 56 | $12,252.80 | $12,300.15 |
+$436.52 (+3.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:15am ET | $292.68 | 55 | $16,097.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $224.09 | 55 | $12,324.95 | $8,527.42 |
$-3,772.73 (-23.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $219.82 | 38 | $8,353.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $231.07 | 38 | $8,780.66 | $8,954.92 |
+$427.50 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 2:40pm ET | $236.82 | 37 | $8,762.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 2:40pm ET | $235.92 | 37 | $8,729.04 | $8,921.62 |
$-33.30 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $236.54 | 37 | $8,752.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $231.62 | 37 | $8,569.94 | $8,739.39 |
$-182.23 (-2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $232.82 | 37 | $8,614.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $232.79 | 37 | $8,613.23 | $8,738.43 |
$-0.96 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.7d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $232.82 | 37 | $8,614.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.68 | 37 | $8,535.16 | $8,659.40 |
$-79.03 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.7d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 2:10pm ET | $238.21 | 36 | $8,575.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 2:10pm ET | $230.76 | 36 | $8,307.36 | $8,391.20 |
$-268.20 (-3.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 2:10pm ET | $238.21 | 36 | $8,575.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $234.68 | 36 | $8,448.48 | $8,264.12 |
$-127.08 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 2:25pm ET | $234.37 | 35 | $8,202.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 2:25pm ET | $238.10 | 35 | $8,333.67 | $8,395.02 |
+$130.90 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 2:25pm ET | $232.26 | 36 | $8,361.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $249.58 | 36 | $8,984.88 | $9,018.36 |
+$623.34 (+7.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $246.20 | 36 | $8,863.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $230.33 | 36 | $8,291.95 | $8,447.11 |
$-571.25 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,447.11
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,552.89
Total Return:
-15.53%