VTI Band Snapper's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 37 trades in period
+13.89%
Year to Date Return
$17,345.69
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$15,230.35
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
55
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
17.3/35
Total Return
15.6/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
7.5/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality
55.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 55.2
30-Day Momentum
2
-1.0%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-53 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,514
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$15,230.35
Current Value
$17,345.69
Period P&L
$2,115.33
Max Drawdown
-14.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
21 /
16
Best Trade
+5.10%
Worst Trade
-2.18%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
6.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,191,602.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,115.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,115.33
Gross Return
+13.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.89%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $15,230.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 12:20pm ET | $339.32 | 45 | $15,269.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $338.91 | 45 | $15,250.95 | $15,373.00 |
$-18.45 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $340.99 | 45 | $15,344.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $341.02 | 45 | $15,345.90 | $15,374.35 |
+$1.35 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $341.56 | 45 | $15,369.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $341.98 | 45 | $15,388.88 | $15,393.25 |
+$18.90 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $343.30 | 44 | $15,105.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $339.86 | 44 | $14,953.84 | $15,241.89 |
$-151.36 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.77 | 45 | $15,109.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $336.12 | 45 | $15,125.40 | $15,257.86 |
+$15.97 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $334.71 | 45 | $15,061.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $339.16 | 45 | $15,262.20 | $15,458.11 |
+$200.25 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $341.61 | 45 | $15,372.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $335.99 | 45 | $15,119.55 | $15,204.99 |
$-253.13 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $328.35 | 46 | $15,104.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $329.15 | 46 | $15,140.90 | $15,241.73 |
+$36.74 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET | $330.49 | 46 | $15,202.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $325.08 | 46 | $14,953.68 | $14,992.64 |
$-249.09 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $321.85 | 46 | $14,805.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.65 | 46 | $14,519.90 | $14,707.43 |
$-285.21 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $324.18 | 45 | $14,588.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:00pm ET | $324.07 | 45 | $14,582.93 | $14,702.26 |
$-5.17 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:40pm ET | $323.71 | 45 | $14,566.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.27 | 45 | $15,042.15 | $15,177.46 |
+$475.20 (+3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET | $341.99 | 44 | $15,047.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $350.07 | 44 | $15,402.86 | $15,532.76 |
+$355.30 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $349.54 | 44 | $15,379.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $351.85 | 44 | $15,481.40 | $15,634.41 |
+$101.65 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $350.78 | 44 | $15,434.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $355.02 | 44 | $15,620.66 | $15,820.75 |
+$186.34 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $356.83 | 44 | $15,700.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $362.69 | 44 | $15,958.36 | $16,078.37 |
+$257.62 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.7d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $362.30 | 44 | $15,941.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $363.11 | 44 | $15,976.84 | $16,114.01 |
+$35.64 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $360.02 | 44 | $15,841.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $369.29 | 44 | $16,248.76 | $16,521.67 |
+$407.66 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 11:20am ET | $368.99 | 44 | $16,235.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 11:20am ET | $372.28 | 44 | $16,380.32 | $16,666.43 |
+$144.76 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 1:20pm ET | $374.10 | 44 | $16,460.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $366.64 | 44 | $16,131.94 | $16,337.97 |
$-328.46 (-2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $362.59 | 45 | $16,316.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $371.61 | 45 | $16,722.45 | $16,743.87 |
+$405.90 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $372.24 | 44 | $16,378.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.33 | 44 | $16,294.30 | $16,659.61 |
$-84.26 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $363.38 | 45 | $16,352.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $365.97 | 45 | $16,468.65 | $16,776.16 |
+$116.55 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $363.38 | 45 | $16,352.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.69 | 45 | $16,681.05 | $17,105.11 |
+$328.95 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $371.30 | 46 | $17,079.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $372.04 | 46 | $17,113.61 | $17,138.92 |
+$33.81 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 12:00pm ET | $370.46 | 46 | $17,041.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $369.25 | 46 | $16,985.50 | $17,083.26 |
$-55.66 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 2:30pm ET | $369.34 | 46 | $16,989.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $367.78 | 46 | $16,917.88 | $17,011.50 |
$-71.76 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $371.30 | 46 | $17,079.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $363.20 | 46 | $16,706.97 | $16,638.67 |
$-372.83 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET | $364.41 | 45 | $16,398.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $383.00 | 45 | $17,235.00 | $17,475.22 |
+$836.55 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $379.80 | 46 | $17,470.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $382.32 | 46 | $17,586.72 | $17,591.37 |
+$116.15 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $381.89 | 46 | $17,566.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 3:50pm ET | $382.33 | 46 | $17,586.95 | $17,611.39 |
+$20.02 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $379.17 | 46 | $17,441.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $377.20 | 46 | $17,351.20 | $17,521.00 |
$-90.39 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.7d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $379.17 | 46 | $17,441.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $377.73 | 46 | $17,375.35 | $17,454.76 |
$-66.24 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.7d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $380.22 | 45 | $17,110.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $375.28 | 45 | $16,887.60 | $17,232.25 |
$-222.51 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $380.83 | 45 | $17,137.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $377.56 | 45 | $16,990.20 | $17,085.10 |
$-147.15 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $375.52 | 45 | $16,898.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $374.70 | 45 | $16,861.50 | $17,048.20 |
$-36.90 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $373.97 | 45 | $16,828.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 1:05pm ET | $380.58 | 45 | $17,126.14 | $17,345.69 |
+$297.49 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$17,345.69
Net Profit/Loss:
+$7,345.69
Total Return:
+73.46%