Compendium › Bruno Breakout › MRNA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRNA
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 3 trades in period

+3.37%
Last Month Return
$8,591.70
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$8,311.96
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:14

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

9
+3.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.2 Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,311.96
Current Value
$8,591.70
Period P&L
$279.74
Max Drawdown
-64.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+15.36%
Worst Trade
-5.27%
Avg Trade Return
+1.62%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$47,105.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$279.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$279.74
Gross Return
+3.37%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $8,311.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $147.42 56 $8,255.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:25am ET $139.65 56 $7,820.40 $7,877.10 $-434.86
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $153.62 51 $7,834.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:40am ET $145.58 51 $7,424.58 $7,467.06 $-410.04
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $152.56 48 $7,322.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $175.99 48 $8,447.52 $8,591.70 +$1,124.64
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,591.70
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,408.30
Total Return: -14.08%
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