Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:34:29

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 56%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.2/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
4.1/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 48.1/100
× Confidence 0.56 = 26.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (56%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,734
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,561.47
Current Value
$15,258.04
Period P&L
$1,696.57
Max Drawdown
-10.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+17.40%
Worst Trade
-5.55%
Avg Trade Return
+1.96%
Avg Hold Time
19.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$161,638.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,696.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,696.57
Gross Return
+12.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $13,561.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 9:30am ET $229.52 60 $13,771.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 1:55pm ET $218.03 60 $13,081.80 $13,283.67 $-689.39
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
42.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET $247.40 53 $13,111.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $233.67 53 $12,384.25 $12,555.98 $-727.69
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.99 56 $12,543.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:00am ET $257.68 56 $14,430.08 $14,442.62 +$1,886.64
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $273.04 52 $14,198.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:00am ET $259.21 52 $13,478.92 $13,723.46 $-719.16
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $245.02 56 $13,721.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $232.55 56 $13,022.80 $13,025.14 $-698.32
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $237.61 54 $12,830.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $278.96 54 $15,063.84 $15,258.04 +$2,232.90
(+17.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
35d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,258.04
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,258.04
Total Return: +52.58%
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