Compendium › Bruno Breakout › BLK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BLK
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 4 trades in period

-5.31%
Last Year Return
$9,155.47
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$9,669.35
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:39

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 14%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
69.7/35
Total Return
52.8/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.1/10
Raw Quality 114.5/100
× Confidence 0.14 = 16.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (14%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,063
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,669.35
Current Value
$9,155.47
Period P&L
$-513.88
Max Drawdown
-9.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+10.95%
Worst Trade
-5.83%
Avg Trade Return
-1.25%
Avg Hold Time
19.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$71,760.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-513.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$-513.88
Gross Return
-5.31%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $9,669.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,144.81 8 $9,158.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:35am ET $1,087.23 8 $8,697.84 $9,208.71 $-460.64
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $964.40 9 $8,679.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,070.04 9 $9,630.36 $10,159.47 +$950.76
(+11.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,058.68 9 $9,528.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $997.00 9 $8,973.00 $9,604.35 $-555.12
(-5.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,096.39 8 $8,771.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 1:50pm ET $1,040.28 8 $8,322.24 $9,155.47 $-448.88
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,155.47
Net Profit/Loss: $-844.53
Total Return: -8.45%
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