Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:49:29

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,437
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,018.95
Current Value
$8,045.86
Period P&L
$-4,973.08
Max Drawdown
-46.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
4 / 16
Best Trade
+18.58%
Worst Trade
-7.89%
Avg Trade Return
-2.01%
Avg Hold Time
7.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$401,630.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,973.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,973.08
Gross Return
-38.20%
Net Return (after fees)
-38.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $13,018.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET $356.32 36 $12,827.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $338.46 36 $12,184.56 $12,375.99 $-642.96
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 9:30am ET $336.97 36 $12,130.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $315.21 36 $11,347.56 $11,592.63 $-783.36
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $322.57 35 $11,289.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 3:05pm ET $305.71 35 $10,699.85 $11,002.53 $-590.10
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET $272.06 40 $10,882.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 10:25am ET $257.36 40 $10,294.40 $10,414.53 $-588.00
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $252.46 41 $10,350.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $239.20 41 $9,807.20 $9,870.87 $-543.66
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $248.95 39 $9,709.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $231.88 39 $9,043.44 $9,205.26 $-665.61
(-6.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $156.11 58 $9,054.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $163.04 58 $9,456.32 $9,607.32 +$402.06
(+4.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $171.76 55 $9,446.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $203.68 55 $11,202.13 $11,362.65 +$1,755.33
(+18.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $203.68 55 $11,202.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET $190.04 55 $10,452.20 $10,612.45 $-750.20
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $164.45 64 $10,524.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET $190.62 64 $12,199.68 $12,287.33 +$1,674.88
(+15.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $205.16 59 $12,104.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $194.87 59 $11,497.04 $11,679.93 $-607.40
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
12 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $199.40 58 $11,565.49 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $185.40 58 $10,752.91 $10,867.35 $-812.58
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $171.60 63 $10,810.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $162.73 63 $10,251.99 $10,308.54 $-558.81
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $170.60 60 $10,235.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $161.28 60 $9,676.80 $9,749.64 $-558.90
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $166.41 58 $9,652.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET $156.80 58 $9,094.69 $9,192.26 $-557.38
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $166.03 55 $9,131.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $155.23 55 $8,537.38 $8,597.99 $-594.27
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $173.90 49 $8,521.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $163.68 49 $8,020.08 $8,096.96 $-501.02
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $166.41 58 $9,652.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $153.28 58 $8,890.24 $7,335.13 $-761.83
(-7.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $172.89 42 $7,261.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $164.21 42 $6,896.61 $6,970.44 $-364.69
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
27.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $178.15 39 $6,948.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $205.73 39 $8,023.47 $8,045.86 +$1,075.42
(+15.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,045.86
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,954.14
Total Return: -19.54%
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