Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:37:17

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.4/10
Raw Quality 2.4/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 1.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
24,584
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,355.18
Current Value
$5,460.81
Period P&L
$-3,894.37
Max Drawdown
-38.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.65

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
2 / 13
Best Trade
+15.11%
Worst Trade
-6.03%
Avg Trade Return
-3.40%
Avg Hold Time
6.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$230,345.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,894.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,894.37
Gross Return
-41.63%
Net Return (after fees)
-41.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $9,355.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 9:30am ET $35.52 263 $9,340.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 3:10pm ET $33.72 263 $8,867.05 $8,881.78 $-473.40
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET $34.34 258 $8,859.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $32.27 258 $8,325.66 $8,347.80 $-533.98
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $30.32 275 $8,338.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 11:55am ET $34.90 275 $9,597.50 $9,607.30 +$1,259.50
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $36.20 265 $9,593.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 2:55pm ET $34.37 265 $9,108.05 $9,122.35 $-484.95
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $35.29 258 $9,104.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET $33.30 258 $8,591.37 $8,608.90 $-513.45
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:35am ET $32.75 262 $8,581.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:40am ET $31.03 262 $8,129.86 $8,156.98 $-451.92
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $28.00 291 $8,149.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $26.60 291 $7,740.60 $7,748.13 $-408.85
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $26.60 291 $7,740.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $27.10 291 $7,886.10 $7,893.63 +$145.50
(+1.9%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $25.24 312 $7,874.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $23.98 312 $7,480.20 $7,498.95 $-394.68
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $23.72 316 $7,493.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET $22.47 316 $7,100.49 $7,105.50 $-393.45
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $26.44 268 $7,085.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $25.08 268 $6,720.10 $6,739.68 $-365.82
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $29.50 228 $6,726.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:05am ET $28.01 228 $6,386.28 $6,399.96 $-339.72
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $24.05 266 $6,397.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $22.84 266 $6,076.77 $6,079.43 $-320.53
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
26d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $26.04 233 $6,067.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $24.70 233 $5,756.26 $5,768.37 $-311.06
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $24.75 233 $5,766.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:50am ET $23.43 233 $5,459.19 $5,460.81 $-307.56
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,460.81
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,539.19
Total Return: -45.39%
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