Compendium › Bruno Breakout › ETHUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ETHUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-6.94%
Last Year Return
$8,550.25
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$9,240.29
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:58:57

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.2 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-40.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.3%
ATR%
13.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 18%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.5/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
0.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
1.1/10
Raw Quality 56.9/100
× Confidence 0.18 = 10.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (18%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,283
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,240.29
Current Value
$8,550.25
Period P&L
$-641.51
Max Drawdown
-25.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+15.04%
Worst Trade
-6.79%
Avg Trade Return
-0.47%
Avg Hold Time
14.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$75,701.02
Estimated Fees
$189.25
Gross P&L
$-641.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$-830.77
Gross Return
-6.94%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.99%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ETHUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $9,240.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 5:45pm ET $1,776.00 5 $9,026.02 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 11:35am ET $2,043.14 5 $10,383.68 $10,335.16 +$1,309.14
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET $4,440.30 2 $10,335.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 2:00am ET $4,139.00 2 $9,633.86 $9,583.94 $-751.22
(-6.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
30.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 12, 2025 10:45am ET $3,942.70 2 $9,583.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 4:00am ET $3,741.70 2 $9,095.35 $9,048.65 $-535.29
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 5:05pm ET $3,290.29 3 $9,048.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:35am ET $3,125.10 3 $8,594.36 $8,550.25 $-498.40
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,550.25
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,449.75
Total Return: -14.50%
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