Compendium › Bruno Breakout › LTCUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LTCUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 3 trades in period

-15.87%
Last Year Return
$10,397.63
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$12,358.92
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:52:55

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 32%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.9/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
14.5/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.32 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (32%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,286
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,358.92
Current Value
$10,397.63
Period P&L
$-1,961.29
Max Drawdown
-25.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-62.58

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-5.01%
Worst Trade
-5.21%
Avg Trade Return
-5.11%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$68,264.89
Estimated Fees
$170.66
Gross P&L
$-1,961.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,131.95
Gross Return
-15.87%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.25%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $12,358.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 8:05pm ET $104.56 118 $12,358.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2025 9:55am ET $99.11 118 $11,714.73 $11,654.55 $-704.37
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 2:50am ET $105.67 110 $11,654.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 10:25am ET $100.38 110 $11,071.11 $11,014.29 $-640.26
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 11:25am ET $99.97 110 $11,014.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:20pm ET $94.86 110 $10,451.29 $10,397.63 $-616.66
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,397.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$397.63
Total Return: +3.98%
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