Compendium › Bruno Breakout › MARA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MARA
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 21 trades in period

+119.61%
Last Year Return
$22,851.80
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$10,405.60
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:54:01

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.3/35
Total Return
17.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 36.6/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 33.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,834
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,405.60
Current Value
$22,851.80
Period P&L
$12,446.20
Max Drawdown
-43.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.41

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
10 / 11
Best Trade
+17.68%
Worst Trade
-8.04%
Avg Trade Return
+4.37%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$541,616.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$12,446.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$12,446.20
Gross Return
+119.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+119.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,405.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 9:30am ET $18.32 568 $10,404.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $16.85 568 $9,567.96 $9,569.28 $-836.32
(-8.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET $19.16 499 $9,560.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 12:15pm ET $22.06 499 $11,007.94 $11,016.38 +$1,447.10
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $20.19 545 $11,002.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 10:25am ET $19.17 545 $10,447.65 $10,461.30 $-555.08
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $16.48 634 $10,448.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:55am ET $15.66 634 $9,925.27 $9,938.25 $-523.05
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $11.63 854 $9,927.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:30am ET $11.00 854 $9,389.73 $9,400.23 $-538.02
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $10.60 886 $9,389.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 10:10am ET $12.19 886 $10,800.43 $10,810.88 +$1,410.65
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $10.45 1,034 $10,805.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:50am ET $9.92 1,034 $10,252.11 $10,257.69 $-553.19
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $10.42 984 $10,253.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:20am ET $9.87 984 $9,711.98 $9,716.39 $-541.30
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $7.26 1,337 $9,713.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $8.35 1,337 $11,170.63 $11,173.72 +$1,457.33
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $8.39 1,331 $11,167.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $9.68 1,331 $12,881.42 $12,888.05 +$1,714.33
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $9.28 1,388 $12,880.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $8.64 1,388 $11,992.32 $11,999.73 $-888.32
(-6.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $8.57 1,399 $11,996.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $8.00 1,399 $11,192.00 $11,195.31 $-804.42
(-6.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $9.40 1,190 $11,186.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:50am ET $10.82 1,190 $12,881.75 $12,891.06 +$1,695.75
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $11.85 1,087 $12,880.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET $11.18 1,087 $12,152.55 $12,162.66 $-728.40
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $11.11 1,094 $12,159.81 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $12.94 1,094 $14,156.69 $14,159.54 +$1,996.88
(+16.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $12.86 1,100 $14,147.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $14.94 1,100 $16,434.00 $16,446.44 +$2,286.90
(+16.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $12.78 1,286 $16,435.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 12:15pm ET $12.10 1,286 $15,567.03 $15,578.39 $-868.05
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $11.33 1,374 $15,567.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $13.04 1,374 $17,922.46 $17,933.43 +$2,355.04
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $10.05 1,784 $17,929.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $9.46 1,784 $16,876.64 $16,880.87 $-1,052.56
(-5.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $10.24 1,648 $16,875.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:35am ET $12.05 1,648 $19,858.40 $19,863.75 +$2,982.88
(+17.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $11.47 1,731 $19,854.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 2:25pm ET $13.20 1,731 $22,842.62 $22,851.80 +$2,988.05
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,851.80
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,851.80
Total Return: +128.52%
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