Compendium › Bruno Breakout › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 27 trades in period

+129.62%
Last Year Return
$32,241.03
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$14,041.23
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:27:38

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.3/35
Total Return
19.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 42.8/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 38.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,436
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$14,041.23
Current Value
$32,241.03
Period P&L
$18,199.80
Max Drawdown
-54.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
12 / 15
Best Trade
+18.92%
Worst Trade
-9.77%
Avg Trade Return
+3.72%
Avg Hold Time
6.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,371,564.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$18,199.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$18,199.80
Gross Return
+129.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+129.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $14,041.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET $162.89 86 $14,008.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 9:35am ET $188.74 86 $16,231.21 $16,263.89 +$2,222.66
(+15.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET $191.37 84 $16,075.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 11:45am ET $220.18 84 $18,495.12 $18,683.93 +$2,420.04
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET $235.27 79 $18,586.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $221.35 79 $17,486.65 $17,584.25 $-1,099.68
(-5.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $253.46 69 $17,488.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $233.50 69 $16,111.50 $16,207.01 $-1,377.24
(-7.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $210.09 77 $16,177.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $242.85 77 $18,699.52 $18,729.36 +$2,522.35
(+15.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
17d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET $261.65 71 $18,577.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:00am ET $246.25 71 $17,483.75 $17,635.96 $-1,093.40
(-5.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $260.51 67 $17,454.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $302.59 67 $20,273.53 $20,455.32 +$2,819.36
(+16.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $325.68 62 $20,192.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET $377.51 62 $23,405.31 $23,668.47 +$3,213.15
(+15.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $424.78 55 $23,362.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET $400.42 55 $22,022.88 $22,328.45 $-1,340.02
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $391.35 57 $22,306.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $371.56 57 $21,179.19 $21,200.69 $-1,127.76
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $446.54 47 $20,987.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $424.00 47 $19,928.00 $20,141.31 $-1,059.38
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $348.28 57 $19,851.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 57 $23,608.54 $23,897.89 +$3,756.58
(+18.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $436.00 54 $23,544.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET $502.30 54 $27,124.47 $27,478.36 +$3,580.47
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $527.40 52 $27,424.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $609.37 52 $31,687.24 $31,740.80 +$4,262.44
(+15.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
15 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $679.00 46 $31,234.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $791.74 46 $36,420.27 $36,927.07 +$5,186.27
(+16.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
16 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $811.00 45 $36,495.09 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $731.76 45 $32,929.20 $33,361.18 $-3,565.89
(-9.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
17 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $822.46 40 $32,898.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $955.96 40 $38,238.40 $38,701.18 +$5,340.00
(+16.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,009.50 38 $38,361.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $953.80 38 $36,244.40 $36,584.58 $-2,116.60
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $938.26 38 $35,653.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $889.70 38 $33,808.60 $34,739.30 $-1,845.28
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,055.02 32 $33,760.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $992.80 32 $31,769.60 $32,748.26 $-1,991.04
(-5.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.2d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1,003.49 32 $32,111.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $917.57 32 $29,362.24 $29,998.66 $-2,749.60
(-8.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,012.41 29 $29,359.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $961.78 29 $27,891.62 $28,530.39 $-1,468.27
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $977.69 29 $28,352.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET $921.45 29 $26,721.91 $26,899.31 $-1,631.08
(-5.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $931.08 28 $26,070.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:10am ET $880.38 28 $24,650.57 $25,479.78 $-1,419.53
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $917.58 27 $24,774.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $871.53 27 $23,531.44 $24,236.70 $-1,243.08
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $861.74 28 $24,128.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $1,000.00 28 $28,000.00 $28,107.98 +$3,871.28
(+16.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13d held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $946.35 29 $27,444.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 2:50pm ET $1,088.87 29 $31,577.19 $32,241.03 +$4,133.05
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
28.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $32,241.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$22,241.03
Total Return: +222.41%
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