Compendium › Bruno Breakout › NFLX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NFLX
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 4 trades in period

-1.42%
Last Year Return
$12,149.69
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$12,324.28
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:57:54

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.0/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 24.6/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 17.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,160
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,324.28
Current Value
$12,149.69
Period P&L
$-174.59
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+9.09%
Worst Trade
-12.28%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
26.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$97,973.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-174.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$-174.59
Gross Return
-1.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $12,324.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $83.59 147 $12,287.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $82.17 147 $12,078.26 $12,114.81 $-209.47
(-1.7%) 		📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $94.19 128 $12,056.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:30am ET $102.75 128 $13,152.64 $13,210.78 +$1,095.97
(+9.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $75.96 173 $13,140.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $66.63 173 $11,526.13 $11,596.69 $-1,614.09
(-12.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $73.35 158 $11,589.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $76.85 158 $12,142.30 $12,149.69 +$553.00
(+4.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,149.69
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,149.69
Total Return: +21.50%
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