Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:31:04

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.7/35
Total Return
17.7/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 50.6/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 38.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,908
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$26,198.49
Current Value
$23,556.93
Period P&L
$-2,641.56
Max Drawdown
-22.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+15.29%
Worst Trade
-5.60%
Avg Trade Return
-1.07%
Avg Hold Time
16.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$395,245.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,641.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,641.56
Gross Return
-10.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $26,198.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $177.37 147 $26,073.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $190.12 147 $27,947.64 $28,091.85 +$1,874.25
(+7.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET $210.79 133 $28,035.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 12:15pm ET $199.95 133 $26,592.69 $26,649.46 $-1,442.39
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $194.33 137 $26,623.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:35pm ET $184.23 137 $25,239.51 $25,265.32 $-1,384.14
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $192.80 131 $25,256.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:30pm ET $183.03 131 $23,976.93 $23,985.45 $-1,279.87
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $182.09 131 $23,853.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET $172.98 131 $22,660.38 $22,792.04 $-1,193.41
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $187.12 121 $22,641.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:35pm ET $177.65 121 $21,496.25 $21,646.77 $-1,145.27
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.60 117 $21,598.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $212.82 117 $24,900.52 $24,949.09 +$3,302.32
(+15.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $222.06 112 $24,870.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $209.63 112 $23,478.56 $23,556.93 $-1,392.16
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $23,556.93
Net Profit/Loss: +$13,556.93
Total Return: +135.57%
Back to Bruno Breakout