Compendium › Bruno Breakout › ORCL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ORCL
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 18 trades in period

-53.87%
Last Year Return
$8,658.73
Current Value
11%
Win Rate
$18,770.28
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:06:29

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality 3.2/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 2.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-15.0%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,578
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$18,770.28
Current Value
$8,658.73
Period P&L
$-10,111.55
Max Drawdown
-40.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.76

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
2 / 16
Best Trade
+15.11%
Worst Trade
-8.60%
Avg Trade Return
-4.08%
Avg Hold Time
6.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$444,500.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-10,111.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$-10,111.55
Gross Return
-53.87%
Net Return (after fees)
-53.87%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $18,770.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $303.42 61 $18,508.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 10:20am ET $287.71 61 $17,550.55 $17,715.83 $-958.07
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $293.81 60 $17,628.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET $271.93 60 $16,315.80 $16,403.03 $-1,312.80
(-7.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 1:05pm ET $318.80 51 $16,258.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $298.11 51 $15,203.79 $15,348.27 $-1,054.76
(-6.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $244.28 62 $15,145.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:15am ET $231.41 62 $14,347.11 $14,550.03 $-798.24
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $232.62 62 $14,422.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET $220.75 62 $13,686.79 $13,814.38 $-735.65
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $206.88 66 $13,654.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $189.08 66 $12,479.28 $12,639.58 $-1,174.80
(-8.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $184.25 68 $12,529.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:25am ET $174.87 68 $11,890.82 $12,001.40 $-638.18
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
34d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $181.00 66 $11,946.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $167.46 66 $11,052.03 $11,107.43 $-893.97
(-7.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $152.07 73 $11,100.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $159.87 73 $11,670.51 $11,677.14 +$569.71
(+5.1%) 		📅 Sim Ended
1.3d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $166.00 70 $11,620.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET $157.04 70 $10,992.95 $11,050.09 $-627.05
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $151.00 73 $11,023.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $143.44 73 $10,471.12 $10,498.21 $-551.88
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $166.59 63 $10,495.17 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:00pm ET $191.76 63 $12,080.97 $12,084.01 +$1,585.80
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $231.84 52 $12,055.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET $220.07 52 $11,443.64 $11,471.89 $-612.12
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $143.90 79 $11,368.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET $136.45 79 $10,779.16 $10,882.95 $-588.94
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $153.13 71 $10,872.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $143.39 71 $10,180.69 $10,191.41 $-691.54
(-6.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $152.48 66 $10,063.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $144.79 66 $9,556.14 $9,683.87 $-507.54
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $167.75 57 $9,561.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $157.75 57 $8,991.75 $9,113.87 $-570.00
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $163.72 55 $9,004.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:05am ET $155.44 55 $8,549.46 $8,658.73 $-455.14
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,658.73
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,341.27
Total Return: -13.41%
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