Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:31:23

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 28.1/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 21.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
24,321
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,913.27
Current Value
$14,282.99
Period P&L
$1,369.72
Max Drawdown
-35.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+15.66%
Worst Trade
-6.77%
Avg Trade Return
+1.87%
Avg Hold Time
8.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$327,797.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,369.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,369.72
Gross Return
+10.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $12,913.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET $124.28 96 $11,930.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET $125.22 96 $12,021.12 $12,142.39 +$90.24
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 9:30am ET $138.58 87 $12,056.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 11:20am ET $131.51 87 $11,441.76 $11,527.69 $-614.70
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $75.70 152 $11,506.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $87.30 152 $13,268.84 $13,290.51 +$1,762.82
(+15.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $63.75 208 $13,260.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:35am ET $73.33 208 $15,251.99 $15,282.50 +$1,991.99
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $59.65 256 $15,271.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:50pm ET $56.67 256 $14,506.24 $14,517.06 $-765.44
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $59.61 243 $14,485.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET $56.39 243 $13,702.77 $13,734.60 $-782.46
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $44.86 306 $13,727.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $42.44 306 $12,986.64 $12,994.08 $-740.52
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $44.66 290 $12,951.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:00am ET $51.65 290 $14,979.95 $15,022.63 +$2,028.55
(+15.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $52.25 287 $14,995.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $48.75 287 $13,991.25 $14,018.13 $-1,004.50
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
24d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $39.88 351 $13,997.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $37.84 351 $13,281.84 $13,302.09 $-716.04
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $43.19 308 $13,300.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:05am ET $49.74 308 $15,318.38 $15,319.49 +$2,017.40
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $51.00 300 $15,300.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $47.54 300 $14,263.50 $14,282.99 $-1,036.50
(-6.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,282.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,282.99
Total Return: +42.83%
Back to Bruno Breakout