Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:21:23

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.0/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 24.9/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 19.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,007
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,488.91
Current Value
$13,826.09
Period P&L
$4,337.18
Max Drawdown
-22.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
7 / 12
Best Trade
+20.39%
Worst Trade
-14.25%
Avg Trade Return
+2.58%
Avg Hold Time
9.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$501,431.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,337.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,337.18
Gross Return
+45.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+45.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $9,488.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 9:30am ET $44.32 214 $9,484.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 10:20am ET $42.10 214 $9,009.40 $9,013.83 $-475.08
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET $43.69 206 $8,999.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 10:50am ET $50.38 206 $10,379.12 $10,393.84 +$1,380.01
(+15.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
30.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $57.66 180 $10,378.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET $68.02 180 $12,243.87 $12,259.38 +$1,865.54
(+18.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $68.72 178 $12,232.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 11:00am ET $65.24 178 $11,611.83 $11,639.05 $-620.33
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $69.16 168 $11,618.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $79.82 168 $13,409.78 $13,429.95 +$1,790.90
(+15.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $82.77 162 $13,408.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $99.65 162 $16,142.49 $16,163.70 +$2,733.75
(+20.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $108.83 148 $16,106.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:15am ET $102.82 148 $15,217.36 $15,274.22 $-889.48
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $78.58 194 $15,244.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $67.38 194 $13,071.74 $13,101.44 $-2,172.78
(-14.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $73.40 178 $13,066.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $73.35 178 $13,056.32 $13,091.67 $-9.77
(-0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.3d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $69.49 188 $13,064.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 3:25pm ET $79.93 188 $15,027.78 $15,055.33 +$1,963.66
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $81.83 183 $14,974.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:35am ET $77.65 183 $14,210.52 $14,290.96 $-764.37
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $80.67 177 $14,278.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 12:10pm ET $76.58 177 $13,554.66 $13,567.01 $-723.95
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $66.14 205 $13,558.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $62.04 205 $12,718.41 $12,726.72 $-840.29
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $65.91 193 $12,720.63 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $76.95 193 $14,851.35 $14,857.44 +$2,130.72
(+16.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
41d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $64.29 231 $14,849.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $60.89 231 $14,065.59 $14,073.19 $-784.25
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $55.52 253 $14,046.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:05am ET $52.73 253 $13,340.69 $13,367.32 $-705.87
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $53.45 250 $13,362.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $50.60 250 $12,648.75 $12,653.57 $-713.75
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $52.93 239 $12,650.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:45am ET $60.91 239 $14,557.49 $14,560.79 +$1,907.22
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
30d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $61.19 237 $14,502.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 10:45am ET $58.09 237 $13,767.33 $13,826.09 $-734.70
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,826.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,826.09
Total Return: +38.26%
Back to Bruno Breakout