Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:18:16

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.9/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 18.9/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 15.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,430
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,944.44
Current Value
$12,377.89
Period P&L
$-566.55
Max Drawdown
-44.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
7 / 12
Best Trade
+17.19%
Worst Trade
-27.78%
Avg Trade Return
+0.48%
Avg Hold Time
9.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$448,719.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-566.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$-566.55
Gross Return
-4.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $12,944.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 9:30am ET $45.99 279 $12,831.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 9:30am ET $52.93 279 $14,768.45 $14,806.35 +$1,937.24
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $54.16 273 $14,786.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 11:10am ET $51.38 273 $14,026.74 $14,046.81 $-759.54
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $50.18 279 $14,000.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 1:35pm ET $47.66 279 $13,297.14 $13,343.73 $-703.08
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $41.36 322 $13,317.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:50am ET $39.17 322 $12,611.13 $12,636.94 $-706.79
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $35.33 357 $12,612.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET $33.54 357 $11,973.92 $11,998.05 $-638.89
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $30.30 395 $11,968.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET $28.56 395 $11,279.23 $11,308.77 $-689.28
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $29.02 389 $11,288.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $33.56 389 $13,054.84 $13,074.83 +$1,766.06
(+15.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET $32.95 396 $13,048.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $33.42 396 $13,236.30 $13,262.93 +$188.10
(+1.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $31.25 424 $13,250.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $22.57 424 $9,569.68 $9,582.61 $-3,680.32
(-27.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
29d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $24.03 398 $9,563.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:20am ET $27.67 398 $11,010.67 $11,029.34 +$1,446.73
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
11 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $31.36 351 $11,007.36 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $36.16 351 $12,692.86 $12,714.84 +$1,685.50
(+15.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
12 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $44.36 286 $12,686.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:45am ET $42.11 286 $12,043.46 $12,071.34 $-643.50
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $31.68 381 $12,070.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:10am ET $30.00 381 $11,430.00 $11,431.26 $-640.08
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $32.43 352 $11,415.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 11:10am ET $30.77 352 $10,831.04 $10,846.94 $-584.32
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $28.81 376 $10,832.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $27.33 376 $10,276.08 $10,290.46 $-556.48
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $28.78 357 $10,274.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $27.31 357 $9,747.89 $9,763.88 $-526.58
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $29.67 329 $9,763.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $27.86 329 $9,165.94 $9,166.75 $-597.13
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $29.61 309 $9,149.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $34.70 309 $10,722.30 $10,739.56 +$1,572.81
(+17.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $36.90 291 $10,737.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:05am ET $42.53 291 $12,376.23 $12,377.89 +$1,638.33
(+15.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
29d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,377.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,377.89
Total Return: +23.78%
Back to Bruno Breakout