Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:04:03

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.6/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 18.4/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 14.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,012
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$16,698.17
Current Value
$12,028.38
Period P&L
$-4,669.79
Max Drawdown
-27.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-11.84

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
0 / 6
Best Trade
-5.01%
Worst Trade
-6.34%
Avg Trade Return
-5.37%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$168,121.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,669.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,669.79
Gross Return
-27.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-27.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $16,698.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $445.47 37 $16,482.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET $417.24 37 $15,437.88 $15,653.66 $-1,044.51
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $419.17 37 $15,509.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:45pm ET $397.21 37 $14,696.77 $14,841.14 $-812.52
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $474.97 31 $14,724.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 3:00pm ET $450.69 31 $13,971.24 $14,088.30 $-752.84
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $450.77 31 $13,973.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $426.23 31 $13,213.13 $13,327.58 $-760.72
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $363.84 36 $13,098.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $345.28 36 $12,430.08 $12,659.42 $-668.16
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $370.82 34 $12,607.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:45am ET $352.26 34 $11,976.84 $12,028.38 $-631.04
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,028.38
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,028.38
Total Return: +20.28%
Back to Bruno Breakout