Compendium › Bruno Breakout › XLK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLK
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-09-24 to present • 2 trades in period

+9.06%
Last Year Return
$13,048.29
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$11,964.49
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:27:04

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 17%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
67.9/35
Total Return
52.8/25
Win Rate
88.3/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
93.5/10
Raw Quality 401.2/100
× Confidence 0.17 = 69.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (17%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
24,868
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,964.49
Current Value
$13,048.29
Period P&L
$1,083.80
Max Drawdown
-10.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.49

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
1 / 1
Best Trade
+15.08%
Worst Trade
-5.18%
Avg Trade Return
+4.95%
Avg Hold Time
19d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$52,201.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,083.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,083.80
Gross Return
+9.06%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $11,964.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $143.16 83 $11,882.69 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:10am ET $164.75 83 $13,674.25 $13,756.05 +$1,791.56
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
27d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $189.95 72 $13,676.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $180.12 72 $12,968.64 $13,048.29 $-707.76
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,048.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,048.29
Total Return: +30.48%
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