Compendium › Bruno Breakout › ADBE
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ADBE
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 3 trades in period

+0.90%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,290.61
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$10,198.54
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:54:02

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
4.9/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 11.2/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 7.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,198.54
Current Value
$10,290.61
Period P&L
$92.07
Max Drawdown
-11.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+15.08%
Worst Trade
-7.04%
Avg Trade Return
+0.84%
Avg Hold Time
22.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$64,906.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$92.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$92.07
Gross Return
+0.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,198.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $217.38 46 $9,999.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:20am ET $250.18 46 $11,508.05 $11,706.88 +$1,508.34
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
26d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $259.82 45 $11,691.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $241.52 45 $10,868.49 $10,883.47 $-823.41
(-7.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
39d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $261.36 41 $10,715.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $246.90 41 $10,122.90 $10,290.61 $-592.86
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,290.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$290.61
Total Return: +2.91%
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