Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:09:50

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
8.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 13.1/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 11.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,461.64
Current Value
$10,898.38
Period P&L
$-3,563.26
Max Drawdown
-41.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.36

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
1 / 8
Best Trade
+19.43%
Worst Trade
-6.73%
Avg Trade Return
-2.86%
Avg Hold Time
5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$199,914.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,563.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,563.26
Gross Return
-24.64%
Net Return (after fees)
-24.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $14,461.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $544.37 26 $14,153.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $507.75 26 $13,201.50 $13,509.52 $-952.12
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $558.33 24 $13,399.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $527.99 24 $12,671.88 $12,781.48 $-728.04
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $537.96 23 $12,373.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $508.84 23 $11,703.29 $12,111.69 $-669.79
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $517.24 23 $11,896.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:20am ET $488.98 23 $11,246.54 $11,461.71 $-649.98
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $509.48 22 $11,208.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:40pm ET $483.84 22 $10,644.48 $10,897.74 $-563.97
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $504.00 21 $10,584.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $471.14 21 $9,894.04 $10,207.78 $-689.96
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $488.80 20 $9,776.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:15am ET $462.68 20 $9,253.60 $9,685.38 $-522.40
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $477.38 20 $9,547.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:25am ET $452.53 20 $9,050.60 $9,188.38 $-497.00
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $488.88 18 $8,799.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $583.88 18 $10,509.84 $10,898.38 +$1,710.00
(+19.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,898.38
Net Profit/Loss: +$898.38
Total Return: +8.98%
Back to Bruno Breakout