Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:53:10

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,308.54
Current Value
$8,045.86
Period P&L
$-2,262.67
Max Drawdown
-46.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.40

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
1 / 6
Best Trade
+15.48%
Worst Trade
-7.89%
Avg Trade Return
-3.01%
Avg Hold Time
8.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$120,541.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,262.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,262.67
Gross Return
-21.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-21.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,308.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $170.60 60 $10,235.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $161.28 60 $9,676.80 $9,749.64 $-558.90
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $166.41 58 $9,652.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET $156.80 58 $9,094.69 $9,192.26 $-557.38
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $166.03 55 $9,131.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $155.23 55 $8,537.38 $8,597.99 $-594.27
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $173.90 49 $8,521.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $163.68 49 $8,020.08 $8,096.96 $-501.02
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $166.41 58 $9,652.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $153.28 58 $8,890.24 $7,335.13 $-761.83
(-7.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $172.89 42 $7,261.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $164.21 42 $6,896.61 $6,970.44 $-364.69
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
27.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $178.15 39 $6,948.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $205.73 39 $8,023.47 $8,045.86 +$1,075.42
(+15.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,045.86
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,954.14
Total Return: -19.54%
Back to Bruno Breakout