Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 03:31:15

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 27.0/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 24.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,999.73
Current Value
$16,446.44
Period P&L
$4,446.71
Max Drawdown
-43.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.65

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+16.42%
Worst Trade
-6.71%
Avg Trade Return
+7.08%
Avg Hold Time
5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$129,187.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,446.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,446.71
Gross Return
+37.06%
Net Return (after fees)
+37.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $11,999.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $8.57 1,399 $11,996.42
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $8.00 1,399 $11,192.00 $11,195.31 $-804.42
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $9.40 1,190 $11,186.00
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:50am ET $10.82 1,190 $12,881.75 $12,891.06 +$1,695.75
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $11.85 1,087 $12,880.95
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET $11.18 1,087 $12,152.55 $12,162.66 $-728.40
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $11.11 1,094 $12,159.81
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $12.94 1,094 $14,156.69 $14,159.54 +$1,996.88
(+16.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $12.86 1,100 $14,147.10
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $14.94 1,100 $16,434.00 $16,446.44 +$2,286.90
(+16.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,446.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,446.44
Total Return: +64.46%
Back to Bruno Breakout