Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:31:36

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.3/35
Total Return
19.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 42.8/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 38.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$32,748.26
Current Value
$32,241.03
Period P&L
$-507.23
Max Drawdown
-54.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+16.04%
Worst Trade
-8.56%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
7.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$383,977.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-507.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$-507.23
Gross Return
-1.55%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $32,748.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1,003.49 32 $32,111.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $917.57 32 $29,362.24 $29,998.66 $-2,749.60
(-8.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,012.41 29 $29,359.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $961.78 29 $27,891.62 $28,530.39 $-1,468.27
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $977.69 29 $28,352.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET $921.45 29 $26,721.91 $26,899.31 $-1,631.08
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $931.08 28 $26,070.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:10am ET $880.38 28 $24,650.57 $25,479.78 $-1,419.53
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $917.58 27 $24,774.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $871.53 27 $23,531.44 $24,236.70 $-1,243.08
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $861.74 28 $24,128.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $1,000.00 28 $28,000.00 $28,107.98 +$3,871.28
(+16.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $946.35 29 $27,444.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 2:50pm ET $1,088.87 29 $31,577.19 $32,241.03 +$4,133.05
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
28.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $32,241.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$22,241.03
Total Return: +222.41%
Back to Bruno Breakout