Compendium › Bruno Breakout › NIO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NIO
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 3 trades in period

-16.03%
Last 3 Months Return
$5,602.81
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$6,672.07
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:08:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 3.3/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 2.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,672.07
Current Value
$5,602.81
Period P&L
$-1,069.26
Max Drawdown
-48.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-16.54

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-5.29%
Worst Trade
-6.02%
Avg Trade Return
-5.54%
Avg Hold Time
15.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$37,432.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,069.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,069.26
Gross Return
-16.03%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $6,672.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $4.99 1,338 $6,669.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $4.72 1,338 $6,314.83 $6,316.96 $-355.11
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $4.99 1,338 $6,669.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $4.68 1,338 $6,268.53 $5,915.56 $-401.40
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
24d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $4.72 1,251 $5,910.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $4.47 1,251 $5,598.22 $5,602.81 $-312.75
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,602.81
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,397.19
Total Return: -43.97%
Back to Bruno Breakout