Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:11:07

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.9/10
Raw Quality 2.9/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 2.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,818.29
Current Value
$4,426.31
Period P&L
$-1,391.98
Max Drawdown
-60.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-15.75

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
0 / 5
Best Trade
-5.11%
Worst Trade
-6.00%
Avg Trade Return
-5.33%
Avg Hold Time
5.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$50,832.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,391.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,391.98
Gross Return
-23.92%
Net Return (after fees)
-23.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $5,818.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $18.08 321 $5,805.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 11:35am ET $17.16 321 $5,508.36 $5,521.37 $-296.92
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $18.12 304 $5,508.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:55am ET $17.17 304 $5,219.65 $5,232.54 $-288.83
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $17.83 293 $5,224.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $16.76 293 $4,910.68 $4,919.03 $-313.51
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $16.42 299 $4,909.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:20am ET $15.58 299 $4,658.39 $4,667.84 $-251.19
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $16.03 291 $4,664.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:45am ET $15.20 291 $4,423.20 $4,426.31 $-241.53
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,426.31
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,573.69
Total Return: -55.74%
Back to Bruno Breakout