Compendium › Bruno Breakout › SLV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SLV
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 4 trades in period

-1.76%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,826.09
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$14,073.19
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:55:17

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.0/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 24.9/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 19.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,073.19
Current Value
$13,826.09
Period P&L
$-247.10
Max Drawdown
-22.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+15.08%
Worst Trade
-5.34%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
9.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$108,875.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-247.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-247.10
Gross Return
-1.76%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $14,073.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $55.52 253 $14,046.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:05am ET $52.73 253 $13,340.69 $13,367.32 $-705.87
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $53.45 250 $13,362.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $50.60 250 $12,648.75 $12,653.57 $-713.75
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $52.93 239 $12,650.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:45am ET $60.91 239 $14,557.49 $14,560.79 +$1,907.22
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
30d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $61.19 237 $14,502.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 10:45am ET $58.09 237 $13,767.33 $13,826.09 $-734.70
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,826.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,826.09
Total Return: +38.26%
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