Compendium › Bruno Breakout › SMCI
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SMCI
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 6 trades in period

+9.29%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,377.89
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$11,325.66
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:18:03

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.9/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 18.9/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 15.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,325.66
Current Value
$12,377.89
Period P&L
$1,052.23
Max Drawdown
-44.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+17.19%
Worst Trade
-6.12%
Avg Trade Return
+1.83%
Avg Hold Time
8.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$125,292.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,052.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,052.23
Gross Return
+9.29%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $11,325.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $32.43 352 $11,415.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 11:10am ET $30.77 352 $10,831.04 $10,846.94 $-584.32
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $28.81 376 $10,832.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $27.33 376 $10,276.08 $10,290.46 $-556.48
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $28.78 357 $10,274.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $27.31 357 $9,747.89 $9,763.88 $-526.58
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $29.67 329 $9,763.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $27.86 329 $9,165.94 $9,166.75 $-597.13
(-6.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $29.61 309 $9,149.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $34.70 309 $10,722.30 $10,739.56 +$1,572.81
(+17.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $36.90 291 $10,737.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:05am ET $42.53 291 $12,376.23 $12,377.89 +$1,638.33
(+15.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
29d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,377.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,377.89
Total Return: +23.78%
Back to Bruno Breakout