Compendium › Bruno Breakout › SPXU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SPXU
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 3 trades in period

-12.37%
Last 3 Months Return
$3,962.09
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$4,521.51
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 21:22:14

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

1
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
1.6/10
Raw Quality 1.6/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 1.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,521.51
Current Value
$3,962.09
Period P&L
$-559.42
Max Drawdown
-59.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-78.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-5.07%
Worst Trade
-5.22%
Avg Trade Return
-5.13%
Avg Hold Time
10.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$25,631.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-559.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$-559.42
Gross Return
-12.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $4,521.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $39.45 117 $4,615.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:00am ET $37.39 117 $4,374.63 $4,396.32 $-241.02
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $38.09 115 $4,380.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:20am ET $36.16 115 $4,158.40 $4,174.37 $-221.95
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $35.84 116 $4,157.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:45am ET $34.01 116 $3,945.16 $3,962.09 $-212.28
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,962.09
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,037.91
Total Return: -60.38%
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