Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:55

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.2/35
Total Return
17.9/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
3.5/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 49.5/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 35.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$26,563.44
Current Value
$24,044.76
Period P&L
$-2,518.68
Max Drawdown
-23.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+15.24%
Worst Trade
-8.04%
Avg Trade Return
-1.63%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$240,111.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,518.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,518.68
Gross Return
-9.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $26,563.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $78.02 340 $26,526.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $71.75 340 $24,393.30 $24,429.94 $-2,133.50
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $74.74 326 $24,365.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $70.93 326 $23,124.81 $23,189.51 $-1,240.43
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $70.11 330 $23,134.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:40am ET $66.56 330 $21,963.15 $22,018.01 $-1,171.50
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $65.56 335 $21,962.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $75.55 335 $25,309.25 $25,364.66 +$3,346.65
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $75.60 335 $25,326.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET $71.66 335 $24,006.10 $24,044.76 $-1,319.90
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $24,044.76
Net Profit/Loss: +$14,044.76
Total Return: +140.45%
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