Compendium › Bruno Breakout › VXX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VXX
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 4 trades in period

-15.83%
Last 3 Months Return
$4,170.80
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$4,955.38
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:21:43

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.0/10
Raw Quality 2.0/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 1.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,955.38
Current Value
$4,170.80
Period P&L
$-784.58
Max Drawdown
-56.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-27.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
0 / 4
Best Trade
-5.04%
Worst Trade
-5.53%
Avg Trade Return
-5.30%
Avg Hold Time
6.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$37,221.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-784.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$-784.58
Gross Return
-15.83%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $4,955.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $24.06 215 $5,171.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET $22.75 215 $4,890.18 $4,902.71 $-281.65
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $22.69 216 $4,902.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 12:05pm ET $21.51 216 $4,647.24 $4,647.83 $-254.88
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $22.54 206 $4,643.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:35pm ET $21.41 206 $4,409.43 $4,414.02 $-233.81
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.3d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $18.73 235 $4,400.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.69 235 $4,157.15 $4,170.80 $-243.22
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,170.80
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,829.20
Total Return: -58.29%
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