Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:52

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

14
+7.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.3 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,054.10
Current Value
$10,023.78
Period P&L
$-30.32
Max Drawdown
-27.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+21.50%
Worst Trade
-6.43%
Avg Trade Return
+0.45%
Avg Hold Time
10.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$150,856.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-30.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-30.32
Gross Return
-0.30%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,054.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $184.21 54 $9,947.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $174.41 54 $9,418.14 $9,525.17 $-528.93
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
2 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $183.20 51 $9,342.95 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:35am ET $173.96 51 $8,871.96 $9,054.18 $-470.99
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
3 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $185.05 48 $8,882.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $173.70 48 $8,337.60 $8,509.38 $-544.80
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $200.10 42 $8,404.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $189.82 42 $7,972.44 $8,077.68 $-431.70
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $155.24 52 $8,072.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $179.13 52 $9,314.50 $9,319.44 +$1,241.76
(+15.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
32d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $190.53 48 $9,145.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $231.50 48 $11,112.00 $11,286.00 +$1,966.56
(+21.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
24d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $265.56 42 $11,153.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $248.48 42 $10,436.19 $10,568.67 $-717.33
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $255.98 41 $10,495.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $242.69 41 $9,950.29 $10,023.78 $-544.89
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,023.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$23.78
Total Return: +0.24%
Back to Bruno Breakout