Compendium › Bruno Breakout › DKNG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DKNG
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 6 trades in period

-27.18%
Last 6 Months Return
$5,460.81
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$7,498.95
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:34:33

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.4/10
Raw Quality 2.4/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 1.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,498.95
Current Value
$5,460.81
Period P&L
$-2,038.14
Max Drawdown
-38.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-46.59

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
0 / 6
Best Trade
-5.01%
Worst Trade
-5.33%
Avg Trade Return
-5.16%
Avg Hold Time
6.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$77,036.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,038.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,038.14
Gross Return
-27.18%
Net Return (after fees)
-27.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $7,498.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $23.72 316 $7,493.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET $22.47 316 $7,100.49 $7,105.50 $-393.45
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $26.44 268 $7,085.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $25.08 268 $6,720.10 $6,739.68 $-365.82
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $29.50 228 $6,726.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:05am ET $28.01 228 $6,386.28 $6,399.96 $-339.72
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $24.05 266 $6,397.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $22.84 266 $6,076.77 $6,079.43 $-320.53
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
26d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $26.04 233 $6,067.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $24.70 233 $5,756.26 $5,768.37 $-311.06
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $24.75 233 $5,766.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:50am ET $23.43 233 $5,459.19 $5,460.81 $-307.56
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,460.81
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,539.19
Total Return: -45.39%
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