Compendium › Bruno Breakout › MSFT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MSFT
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 3 trades in period

+17.90%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,989.74
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$9,320.92
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:08:46

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 11%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
68.9/35
Total Return
52.8/25
Win Rate
20.5/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
11.7/10
Raw Quality 230.6/100
× Confidence 0.11 = 25.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (11%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,320.92
Current Value
$10,989.74
Period P&L
$1,668.82
Max Drawdown
-10.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.73

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+15.27%
Worst Trade
-5.09%
Avg Trade Return
+6.15%
Avg Hold Time
19.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$57,994.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,668.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,668.82
Gross Return
+17.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $9,320.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $384.69 24 $9,232.56 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $416.55 24 $9,997.32 $10,085.68 +$764.76
(+8.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
48d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $464.57 21 $9,755.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 2:50pm ET $440.92 21 $9,259.32 $9,589.14 $-496.54
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $436.88 21 $9,174.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET $503.57 21 $10,574.97 $10,989.74 +$1,400.60
(+15.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,989.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$989.74
Total Return: +9.90%
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