Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:06:44

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,500.87
Current Value
$9,026.79
Period P&L
$1,525.92
Max Drawdown
-53.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
4 / 8
Best Trade
+21.47%
Worst Trade
-6.93%
Avg Trade Return
+2.12%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$207,660.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,525.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,525.92
Gross Return
+20.34%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $7,500.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $15.49 484 $7,497.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.99 484 $8,707.16 $8,710.87 +$1,210.00
(+16.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.53 496 $8,694.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET $16.52 496 $8,192.68 $8,208.67 $-502.20
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
3 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $18.58 441 $8,193.78 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $22.57 441 $9,953.37 $9,968.26 +$1,759.59
(+21.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $28.50 349 $9,946.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $26.91 349 $9,391.56 $9,413.32 $-554.94
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $28.41 331 $9,403.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $26.91 331 $8,907.21 $8,916.82 $-496.50
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $22.75 391 $8,895.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET $21.56 391 $8,429.96 $8,451.53 $-465.29
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $22.00 384 $8,448.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:50am ET $20.90 384 $8,023.68 $8,027.21 $-424.32
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $19.06 421 $8,024.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:40am ET $22.18 421 $9,339.88 $9,342.84 +$1,315.63
(+16.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $22.40 417 $9,340.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $21.01 417 $8,761.17 $8,763.21 $-579.63
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $23.38 374 $8,744.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET $21.76 374 $8,138.24 $8,157.33 $-605.88
(-6.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $21.94 371 $8,139.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:15am ET $20.82 371 $7,724.22 $7,741.77 $-415.56
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $21.32 363 $7,739.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET $24.86 363 $9,024.18 $9,026.79 +$1,285.02
(+16.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,026.79
Net Profit/Loss: $-973.21
Total Return: -9.73%
Back to Bruno Breakout