Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 03:33:26

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.8/35
Total Return
17.7/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
3.8/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 41.9/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 33.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,721
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
130 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$26,405.87
Current Value
$23,587.55
Period P&L
$-2,818.32
Max Drawdown
-32.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+15.45%
Worst Trade
-5.57%
Avg Trade Return
-1.11%
Avg Hold Time
14.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$244,253.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,818.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,818.32
Gross Return
-10.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 130 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $26,405.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $26.41 960 $25,353.60
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $25.01 960 $24,010.66 $24,011.73 $-1,342.94
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
34.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $19.19 1,251 $24,006.69
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $18.12 1,251 $22,670.62 $22,675.66 $-1,336.07
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $15.47 1,465 $22,663.55
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $17.86 1,465 $26,164.90 $26,177.01 +$3,501.35
(+15.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $19.51 1,341 $26,162.91
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET $18.51 1,341 $24,821.77 $24,835.87 $-1,341.14
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
5 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $16.50 1,504 $24,823.52
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $15.68 1,504 $23,575.20 $23,587.55 $-1,248.32
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $23,587.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$13,587.55
Total Return: +135.88%
Back to Bruno Breakout