Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:14:41

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
4.9/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 11.2/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 7.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
49,692
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,336.11
Current Value
$10,290.61
Total P&L
$-45.50
Max Drawdown
-11.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+15.48%
Worst Trade
-7.04%
Avg Trade Return
+0.37%
Avg Hold Time
25d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$221,212.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-45.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$-45.50
Gross Return
-0.44%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,336.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2024 9:30am ET $522.04 19 $9,918.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2024 10:50am ET $495.68 19 $9,417.92 $9,797.65 $-500.84
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2024 9:30am ET $529.82 18 $9,536.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2024 9:30am ET $493.00 18 $8,874.00 $9,134.89 $-662.76
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 9:30am ET $421.82 21 $8,858.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $445.00 21 $9,345.00 $9,621.78 +$486.89
(+5.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $361.52 26 $9,399.39 — — —
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 9:45am ET $417.49 26 $10,854.61 $11,077.00 +$1,455.22
(+15.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 9:30am ET $355.43 31 $11,018.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 12:55pm ET $337.57 31 $10,464.67 $10,523.49 $-553.51
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
24.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $336.14 31 $10,420.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $319.32 31 $9,898.92 $10,002.22 $-521.27
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
39d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $246.26 40 $9,850.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $231.26 40 $9,250.24 $9,402.06 $-600.16
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $242.13 38 $9,200.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $263.09 38 $9,997.42 $10,198.54 +$796.48
(+8.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $217.38 46 $9,999.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:20am ET $250.18 46 $11,508.05 $11,706.88 +$1,508.34
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
26d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $259.82 45 $11,691.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $241.52 45 $10,868.49 $10,883.47 $-823.41
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
39d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $261.36 41 $10,715.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $246.90 41 $10,122.90 $10,290.61 $-592.86
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,290.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$290.61
Total Return: +2.91%
Back to Bruno Breakout