Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:06:30

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

74
Lifetime
Confidence: 8%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
81.4/35
Total Return
52.8/25
Win Rate
99.4/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
98.3/10
Raw Quality 980.1/100
× Confidence 0.08 = 74.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (8%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
42,761
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
510 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,505.24
Current Value
$12,397.83
Total P&L
$2,892.59
Max Drawdown
-5.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.92

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
5 / 0
Best Trade
+10.52%
Worst Trade
+1.90%
Avg Trade Return
+5.70%
Avg Hold Time
40.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$103,982.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,892.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,892.59
Gross Return
+30.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+30.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 510 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $9,505.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2025 9:30am ET $296.93 32 $9,501.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2025 9:30am ET $316.72 32 $10,135.01 $10,138.65 +$633.41
(+6.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 9:30am ET $286.17 35 $10,015.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 9:30am ET $291.60 35 $10,206.00 $10,328.70 +$190.05
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
46d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $352.78 29 $10,230.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $364.75 29 $10,577.75 $10,675.83 +$347.13
(+3.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $346.61 30 $10,398.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $367.55 30 $11,026.50 $11,304.03 +$628.20
(+6.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
46d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $346.61 30 $10,398.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $383.07 30 $11,492.10 $12,397.83 +$1,093.80
(+10.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
56d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,397.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,397.83
Total Return: +23.98%
Back to Bruno Breakout