Compendium › Bruno Breakout › AVGO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVGO
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 33 trades executed

+20.43%
2 Years Return
$12,446.56
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$10,335.14
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:12:00

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.8/35
Total Return
11.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 18.9/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 13.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
72,478
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,335.14
Current Value
$12,446.56
Total P&L
$2,111.42
Max Drawdown
-31.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
27
Winners / Losers
10 / 17
Best Trade
+24.85%
Worst Trade
-15.96%
Avg Trade Return
+1.22%
Avg Hold Time
13.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$600,107.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,111.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,111.42
Gross Return
+20.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,335.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2024 9:30am ET $179.46 57 $10,229.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2024 10:00am ET $170.10 57 $9,695.91 $9,801.83 $-533.31
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2024 9:30am ET $181.80 53 $9,635.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2024 2:10pm ET $172.70 53 $9,153.31 $9,320.01 $-481.82
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $178.40 52 $9,277.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 15, 2024 9:30am ET $167.27 52 $8,698.04 $8,741.05 $-578.96
(-6.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2024 9:30am ET $173.01 50 $8,650.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 13, 2024 9:30am ET $216.00 50 $10,800.00 $10,890.80 +$2,149.75
(+24.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2024 9:30am ET $237.31 45 $10,678.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 3:20pm ET $225.12 45 $10,130.18 $10,342.03 $-548.77
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2025 9:30am ET $234.55 44 $10,320.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $215.99 44 $9,503.56 $9,525.39 $-816.64
(-7.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2025 9:30am ET $218.63 43 $9,400.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2025 9:30am ET $206.54 43 $8,881.22 $9,005.73 $-519.66
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
26d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 9:30am ET $189.51 47 $8,906.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2025 12:30pm ET $180.02 47 $8,460.94 $8,559.70 $-446.03
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $166.81 51 $8,507.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 2:40pm ET $158.35 51 $8,075.85 $8,128.32 $-431.38
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $178.35 45 $8,025.53 — — —
🔴 SELL May 2, 2025 12:00pm ET $205.48 45 $9,246.60 $9,349.40 +$1,221.08
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
11 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $216.95 43 $9,328.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 2:15pm ET $249.63 43 $10,734.09 $10,754.64 +$1,405.24
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET $265.32 40 $10,612.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 9:30am ET $305.40 40 $12,216.00 $12,358.03 +$1,603.39
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
44d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $349.16 35 $12,220.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $331.58 35 $11,605.13 $11,742.58 $-615.45
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20d held
14 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET $341.53 34 $11,612.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $344.67 34 $11,718.78 $11,849.34 +$106.76
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
46d held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $369.70 32 $11,830.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 1:50pm ET $350.88 32 $11,228.16 $11,247.10 $-602.24
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $357.57 31 $11,084.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 3:00pm ET $411.63 31 $12,760.53 $12,922.96 +$1,675.86
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $356.40 36 $12,830.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET $337.69 36 $12,156.84 $12,249.58 $-673.38
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $322.70 37 $11,939.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $340.06 37 $12,582.22 $12,891.90 +$642.32
(+5.4%) 		📅 Sim Ended
5.3d held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $333.83 38 $12,685.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:55am ET $316.73 38 $12,035.93 $12,242.29 $-649.61
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $329.82 37 $12,203.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $312.35 37 $11,557.02 $11,596.16 $-646.13
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $326.71 35 $11,434.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:10am ET $375.73 35 $13,150.55 $13,311.86 +$1,715.70
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $390.09 34 $13,263.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $450.33 34 $15,311.22 $15,360.02 +$2,048.16
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
47d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $488.34 31 $15,138.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $410.39 31 $12,721.94 $12,943.42 $-2,416.60
(-16.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $402.68 32 $12,885.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $380.40 32 $12,172.96 $12,230.46 $-712.96
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $395.25 30 $11,857.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $373.16 30 $11,194.80 $11,567.76 $-662.70
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
26 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $374.00 30 $11,220.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET $430.79 30 $12,923.70 $13,271.46 +$1,703.70
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
32d held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $426.41 31 $13,218.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:50am ET $399.80 31 $12,393.86 $12,446.56 $-824.90
(-6.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,446.56
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,446.56
Total Return: +24.47%
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